Market icon

幸存者50获胜者

Market icon

幸存者50获胜者

奥布里·布拉科 87%

Cirie Fields 8.8%

迪·瓦拉达雷斯 1.1%

卡米拉·卡西吉苏 <1%

Polymarket

$659,936 交易量

奥布里·布拉科 87%

Cirie Fields 8.8%

迪·瓦拉达雷斯 1.1%

卡米拉·卡西吉苏 <1%

Polymarket

$659,936 交易量

奥布里·布拉科

$85,780 交易量

87%

Cirie Fields

$26,128 交易量

9%

迪·瓦拉达雷斯

$22,472 交易量

1%

卡米拉·卡西吉苏

$32,064 交易量

1%

奥兹·卢斯特

$44,669 交易量

1%

Rizo Velovic

$38,975 交易量

1%

查理·戴维斯

$37,282 交易量

<1%

乔·亨特

$26,643 交易量

<1%

乔纳森·杨

$13,533 交易量

<1%

克里斯蒂安·胡比茨基

$52,526 交易量

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$23,490 交易量

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$17,421 交易量

<1%

迈克·怀特

$46,504 交易量

<1%

Rick Devens

$20,235 交易量

<1%

艾米丽·弗利潘

$19,553 交易量

<1%

詹娜·刘易斯-多尔蒂

$24,917 交易量

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$13,997 交易量

<1%

吉纳维芙·穆沙卢克

$20,283 交易量

<1%

本杰明“教练”韦德

$16,649 交易量

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$25,047 交易量

<1%

蒂凡尼·妮可·欧文

$13,946 交易量

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$22,303 交易量

<1%

萨凡娜·路易

$15,520 交易量

<1%

凯尔·弗雷泽

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Aubry Bracco as the overwhelming Survivor 50 frontrunner at 86.5% implied probability, driven by her proven strategic prowess from runner-up finishes in Kaôh Rōng and Millennials vs. Gen X, which align perfectly with modern Survivor's emphasis on social alliances over pure physicality. The recent full cast reveal for this milestone all-returnees season—featuring 24 fan-favorite legends like Cirie Fields (8.8%) and Ozzy Lusth—has fueled betting volume, with traders betting real capital on Aubry's under-the-radar gameplay edge amid hype from pre-season power rankings and fan polls. Cirie's enduring popularity provides a distant upset path, but upcoming filming in early 2025 could introduce twists, underscoring the high unpredictability of blindside votes and endurance challenges.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
交易量
$659,936
结束日期
May 20, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Aubry Bracco as the overwhelming Survivor 50 frontrunner at 86.5% implied probability, driven by her proven strategic prowess from runner-up finishes in Kaôh Rōng and Millennials vs. Gen X, which align perfectly with modern Survivor's emphasis on social alliances over pure physicality. The recent full cast reveal for this milestone all-returnees season—featuring 24 fan-favorite legends like Cirie Fields (8.8%) and Ozzy Lusth—has fueled betting volume, with traders betting real capital on Aubry's under-the-radar gameplay edge amid hype from pre-season power rankings and fan polls. Cirie's enduring popularity provides a distant upset path, but upcoming filming in early 2025 could introduce twists, underscoring the high unpredictability of blindside votes and endurance challenges.

Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Aubry Bracco as the overwhelming Survivor 50 frontrunner at 86.5% implied probability, driven by her proven strategic prowess from runner-up finishes in Kaôh Rōng and Millennials vs. Gen X, which align perfectly with modern Survivor's emphasis on social alliances over pure physicality. The recent full cast reveal for this milestone all-returnees season—featuring 24 fan-favorite legends like Cirie Fields (8.8%) and Ozzy Lusth—has fueled betting volume, with traders betting real capital on Aubry's under-the-radar gameplay edge amid hype from pre-season power rankings and fan polls. Cirie's enduring popularity provides a distant upset path, but upcoming filming in early 2025 could introduce twists, underscoring the high unpredictability of blindside votes and endurance challenges.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"幸存者50获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 24 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥布里·布拉科"，概率为 87%，其次是"Cirie Fields"，概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 87¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 87%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"幸存者50获胜者"已产生 $659.9K 的总交易量（自Jan 16, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"幸存者50获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 24 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"幸存者50获胜者"的当前领先者是"奥布里·布拉科"，概率为 87%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 87%。紧随其后的结果是"Cirie Fields"，概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"幸存者50获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。