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标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?

Market icon

标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,388 交易量

Polymarket

↑ 9,300美元

$0 交易量

6%

↑ 8,600美元

$0 交易量

9%

↑ 8,200美元

$0 交易量

13%

↑ 7,800美元

$328 交易量

25%

↑ 7,600美元

$0 交易量

37%

↑ 7,400美元

$0 交易量

39%

↓ 6,400美元

$1,490 交易量

96%

↓ 6,200美元

$1,308 交易量

83%

↓ 5,800

$1,307 交易量

74%

↓ 5,200

$2,955 交易量

45%

↓ 4,500美元

$0 交易量

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged to record highs above 6,000, closing at 6,021 on December 10, propelled by post-election optimism over President-elect Trump's pro-growth policies including tax cuts and deregulation, alongside cooling inflation evidenced by November's CPI rising 2.7% year-over-year—below expectations—and the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut. Robust November nonfarm payrolls adding 227,000 jobs signal labor market resilience supporting soft landing narratives, while Fed funds futures imply near-certainty of another December cut at the December 18 FOMC meeting. Traders eye this week's December 11 CPI release and seasonal year-end strength as pivotal, with consensus analyst year-end targets clustering around 6,000-6,200 amid elevated valuations at 22x forward earnings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$7,388
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged to record highs above 6,000, closing at 6,021 on December 10, propelled by post-election optimism over President-elect Trump's pro-growth policies including tax cuts and deregulation, alongside cooling inflation evidenced by November's CPI rising 2.7% year-over-year—below expectations—and the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut. Robust November nonfarm payrolls adding 227,000 jobs signal labor market resilience supporting soft landing narratives, while Fed funds futures imply near-certainty of another December cut at the December 18 FOMC meeting. Traders eye this week's December 11 CPI release and seasonal year-end strength as pivotal, with consensus analyst year-end targets clustering around 6,000-6,200 amid elevated valuations at 22x forward earnings.

The S&P 500 has surged to record highs above 6,000, closing at 6,021 on December 10, propelled by post-election optimism over President-elect Trump's pro-growth policies including tax cuts and deregulation, alongside cooling inflation evidenced by November's CPI rising 2.7% year-over-year—below expectations—and the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut. Robust November nonfarm payrolls adding 227,000 jobs signal labor market resilience supporting soft landing narratives, while Fed funds futures imply near-certainty of another December cut at the December 18 FOMC meeting. Traders eye this week's December 11 CPI release and seasonal year-end strength as pivotal, with consensus analyst year-end targets clustering around 6,000-6,200 amid elevated valuations at 22x forward earnings.

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常见问题

"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"↓ 6,600美元",概率为 100%,其次是"↓ 6,400美元",概率为 96%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jan 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"的当前领先者是"↓ 6,600美元",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"↓ 6,400美元",概率为 96%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。