Polymarket traders assign a 43% implied probability to silver (SI) settling in the $70-$80 range by end-June 2026, aligning closely with June futures trading around $78 after a sharp 8-10% spot plunge to $77/oz on May 15 amid hotter-than-expected US inflation data that bolstered the dollar index to 99 and reduced Fed rate-cut odds through year-end. Persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand—particularly from solar panel fabrication—support elevated pricing versus historical norms, tempering downside risks below $70 (aggregated at 5.2%) while capping upside above $90 (25.5%) amid hawkish monetary policy signals. Key catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications that could sway rate path expectations and risk appetite for precious metals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-80美元 33.0%
80-90美元 17%
60-70美元 16.7%
$90-$100 12%
$585,760 交易量
$585,760 交易量
低于50美元
2%
50至60美元
3%
60-70美元
17%
70-80美元
33%
80-90美元
17%
$90-$100
12%
100-115美元
9%
>115美元
7%
70-80美元 33.0%
80-90美元 17%
60-70美元 16.7%
$90-$100 12%
$585,760 交易量
$585,760 交易量
低于50美元
2%
50至60美元
3%
60-70美元
17%
70-80美元
33%
80-90美元
17%
$90-$100
12%
100-115美元
9%
>115美元
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Polymarket traders assign a 43% implied probability to silver (SI) settling in the $70-$80 range by end-June 2026, aligning closely with June futures trading around $78 after a sharp 8-10% spot plunge to $77/oz on May 15 amid hotter-than-expected US inflation data that bolstered the dollar index to 99 and reduced Fed rate-cut odds through year-end. Persistent supply deficits and robust industrial demand—particularly from solar panel fabrication—support elevated pricing versus historical norms, tempering downside risks below $70 (aggregated at 5.2%) while capping upside above $90 (25.5%) amid hawkish monetary policy signals. Key catalysts include upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications that could sway rate path expectations and risk appetite for precious metals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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