Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for the NYSE Composite (NYA) to close the week of March 17-21 above 18,500, driven primarily by anticipation of the FOMC meeting on March 18-19 where markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady amid cooling inflation signals from February CPI (up 3.2% YoY). Current NYA levels hover near 18,450, supported by resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven tech gains, but vulnerable to hotter-than-expected PPI data on March 14 or escalating geopolitical tensions. Trader consensus reflects bullish momentum from S&P 500 records, yet acknowledges volatility risks ahead of key retail sales figures on March 17; historical precedent shows Fed pauses often lift broad indices by 1-2% weekly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$0.00 交易量
Mar 20, 2026
18,600
是
18,750
是
18,900
是
19,050
是
19,200
Yes
19,350
Yes
19,500
Yes
$0.00 交易量
18,600
$0 交易量
是
18,750
$0 交易量
是
18,900
$0 交易量
是
19,050
$0 交易量
是
19,200
$0 交易量
Yes
19,350
$0 交易量
Yes
19,500
$0 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 20, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NYSE Composite (NYA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NYSE Composite (NYA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Note: NYSE Composite (NYA) is represented by ^NYA on Yahoo Finance.
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 20, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENYA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for the NYSE Composite (NYA) to close the week of March 17-21 above 18,500, driven primarily by anticipation of the FOMC meeting on March 18-19 where markets expect the Fed to hold rates steady amid cooling inflation signals from February CPI (up 3.2% YoY). Current NYA levels hover near 18,450, supported by resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven tech gains, but vulnerable to hotter-than-expected PPI data on March 14 or escalating geopolitical tensions. Trader consensus reflects bullish momentum from S&P 500 records, yet acknowledges volatility risks ahead of key retail sales figures on March 17; historical precedent shows Fed pauses often lift broad indices by 1-2% weekly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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