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财务·从新建中隐藏

纳斯达克100指数（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？

Market icon
财务·从新建中隐藏

纳斯达克100指数（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？

Dec 31

Dec 31

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$2,458 交易量

Polymarket

>38,000美元

$1,097 交易量

8%

>33,000美元

$0 交易量

6%

>30,000美元

$0 交易量

13%

>27,000美元

$22 交易量

28%

>24,000美元

$546 交易量

38%

>19,000美元

$792 交易量

74%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 has entered correction territory, plunging over 4% in the past week to close at 23,133 on March 27 amid escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, an oil shock, and softer-than-expected jobs data that reinforced the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18. High valuations in AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, trading at forward P/E ratios above 30x, amplify downside risks despite robust sector revenue growth. Consensus analyst forecasts target end-2026 levels near 25,000-30,000, buoyed by potential Fed rate cuts later in the year if inflation eases. Key catalysts include Q1 earnings starting late April for the Magnificent Seven, April PCE inflation data, and the May FOMC meeting.

The Nasdaq 100 has entered correction territory, plunging over 4% in the past week to close at 23,133 on March 27 amid escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, an oil shock, and softer-than-expected jobs data that reinforced the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18. High valuations in AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, trading at forward P/E ratios above 30x, amplify downside risks despite robust sector revenue growth. Consensus analyst forecasts target end-2026 levels near 25,000-30,000, buoyed by potential Fed rate cuts later in the year if inflation eases. Key catalysts include Q1 earnings starting late April for the Magnificent Seven, April PCE inflation data, and the May FOMC meeting.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 has entered correction territory, plunging over 4% in the past week to close at 23,133 on March 27 amid escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, an oil shock, and softer-than-expected jobs data that reinforced the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18. High valuations in AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, trading at forward P/E ratios above 30x, amplify downside risks despite robust sector revenue growth. Consensus analyst forecasts target end-2026 levels near 25,000-30,000, buoyed by potential Fed rate cuts later in the year if inflation eases. Key catalysts include Q1 earnings starting late April for the Magnificent Seven, April PCE inflation data, and the May FOMC meeting.

The Nasdaq 100 has entered correction territory, plunging over 4% in the past week to close at 23,133 on March 27 amid escalating Middle East tensions involving Iran, an oil shock, and softer-than-expected jobs data that reinforced the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18. High valuations in AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, trading at forward P/E ratios above 30x, amplify downside risks despite robust sector revenue growth. Consensus analyst forecasts target end-2026 levels near 25,000-30,000, buoyed by potential Fed rate cuts later in the year if inflation eases. Key catalysts include Q1 earnings starting late April for the Magnificent Seven, April PCE inflation data, and the May FOMC meeting.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"纳斯达克100指数（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为">19,000美元"，概率为 74%，其次是">24,000美元"，概率为 38%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 74¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 74%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"纳斯达克100指数（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jan 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"纳斯达克100指数（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纳斯达克100指数（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？"的当前领先者是">19,000美元"，概率为 74%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 74%。紧随其后的结果是">24,000美元"，概率为 38%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纳斯达克100指数（ NDX ）在2026年底___以上？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。