The S&P 500 closed March 31, 2026, at 6,528—roughly 7% below its January intraday all-time high of 7,002—reflecting trader consensus on Polymarket pricing near-zero implied probability for a new peak by quarter-end amid surging inflation risks and diminished Fed rate-cut expectations. Hawkish March FOMC projections lifted 2026 core PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% from 2.5%, driven by Brent crude exceeding $100 per barrel on Iran-related geopolitical tensions, eroding monetary policy easing prospects from the current 3.5%-3.75% fed funds range. Q1 bank earnings kick off this week, followed by March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, pivotal for assessing if renewed upside momentum can challenge the prior high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$356,354 交易量
2026-03-31
3月31日
<1%
$356,354 交易量
3月31日
$332,139 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).The S&P 500 closed March 31, 2026, at 6,528—roughly 7% below its January intraday all-time high of 7,002—reflecting trader consensus on Polymarket pricing near-zero implied probability for a new peak by quarter-end amid surging inflation risks and diminished Fed rate-cut expectations. Hawkish March FOMC projections lifted 2026 core PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% from 2.5%, driven by Brent crude exceeding $100 per barrel on Iran-related geopolitical tensions, eroding monetary policy easing prospects from the current 3.5%-3.75% fed funds range. Q1 bank earnings kick off this week, followed by March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, pivotal for assessing if renewed upside momentum can challenge the prior high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$356,354结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).The S&P 500 closed March 31, 2026, at 6,528—roughly 7% below its January intraday all-time high of 7,002—reflecting trader consensus on Polymarket pricing near-zero implied probability for a new peak by quarter-end amid surging inflation risks and diminished Fed rate-cut expectations. Hawkish March FOMC projections lifted 2026 core PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% from 2.5%, driven by Brent crude exceeding $100 per barrel on Iran-related geopolitical tensions, eroding monetary policy easing prospects from the current 3.5%-3.75% fed funds range. Q1 bank earnings kick off this week, followed by March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, pivotal for assessing if renewed upside momentum can challenge the prior high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves an intraday high price greater than 7,002.28 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
交易量
$356,354结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed March 31, 2026, at 6,528—roughly 7% below its January intraday all-time high of 7,002—reflecting trader consensus on Polymarket pricing near-zero implied probability for a new peak by quarter-end amid surging inflation risks and diminished Fed rate-cut expectations. Hawkish March FOMC projections lifted 2026 core PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% from 2.5%, driven by Brent crude exceeding $100 per barrel on Iran-related geopolitical tensions, eroding monetary policy easing prospects from the current 3.5%-3.75% fed funds range. Q1 bank earnings kick off this week, followed by March CPI on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC, pivotal for assessing if renewed upside momentum can challenge the prior high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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