Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on March 29, driven by official METAR observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) recording 17°C at 15:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus upgrades, showing highs of 17–19°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild southerly air masses—well above the late-March climatological average of 9°C. With peak solar heating past and sunset approaching, uncertainty is minimal; only an improbable station data revision or equipment anomaly could alter the outcome, per standard protocols from Poland's IMGW and international verification standards. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$166,540 交易量
$166,540 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
Yes
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$166,540 交易量
$166,540 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
7°C or below
$9,928 交易量
No
8°C
$4,220 交易量
No
9°C
$5,417 交易量
No
10°C
$7,750 交易量
No
11°C
$13,068 交易量
No
12°C
$4,540 交易量
No
13°C
$11,339 交易量
No
14°C
$8,845 交易量
No
15°C
$14,059 交易量
No
16°C
$64,728 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$22,645 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on March 29, driven by official METAR observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) recording 17°C at 15:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus upgrades, showing highs of 17–19°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild southerly air masses—well above the late-March climatological average of 9°C. With peak solar heating past and sunset approaching, uncertainty is minimal; only an improbable station data revision or equipment anomaly could alter the outcome, per standard protocols from Poland's IMGW and international verification standards. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$166,540结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on March 29, driven by official METAR observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) recording 17°C at 15:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus upgrades, showing highs of 17–19°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild southerly air masses—well above the late-March climatological average of 9°C. With peak solar heating past and sunset approaching, uncertainty is minimal; only an improbable station data revision or equipment anomaly could alter the outcome, per standard protocols from Poland's IMGW and international verification standards. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$166,540结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on March 29, driven by official METAR observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) recording 17°C at 15:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus upgrades, showing highs of 17–19°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild southerly air masses—well above the late-March climatological average of 9°C. With peak solar heating past and sunset approaching, uncertainty is minimal; only an improbable station data revision or equipment anomaly could alter the outcome, per standard protocols from Poland's IMGW and international verification standards. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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