Japan Meteorological Agency observations at the official Tokyo station have recorded a daytime high of 17°C as of late April 1, driving the near-unanimous 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Patchy rain and overcast skies limited solar heating, with temperatures peaking mid-afternoon amid moderate winds and cooler air masses typical for early spring in the Kanto region, aligning with seasonal normals around 16–19°C but skewed lower today by synoptic patterns including a weak frontal boundary. Model consensus from prior forecasts had anticipated similar mild conditions, now validated by surface measurements. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-evening temperature surge from sudden clearing—unlikely given the diurnal cycle and current cooling trend—or a rare data revision upon final JMA daily report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
17°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$245,229 交易量
$245,229 交易量
2026-04-01
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$245,229 交易量
$245,229 交易量
2026-04-01
17°C
$60,596 交易量
100%
18°C
$28,631 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$40,147 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at the official Tokyo station have recorded a daytime high of 17°C as of late April 1, driving the near-unanimous 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Patchy rain and overcast skies limited solar heating, with temperatures peaking mid-afternoon amid moderate winds and cooler air masses typical for early spring in the Kanto region, aligning with seasonal normals around 16–19°C but skewed lower today by synoptic patterns including a weak frontal boundary. Model consensus from prior forecasts had anticipated similar mild conditions, now validated by surface measurements. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-evening temperature surge from sudden clearing—unlikely given the diurnal cycle and current cooling trend—or a rare data revision upon final JMA daily report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$245,229结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations at the official Tokyo station have recorded a daytime high of 17°C as of late April 1, driving the near-unanimous 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Patchy rain and overcast skies limited solar heating, with temperatures peaking mid-afternoon amid moderate winds and cooler air masses typical for early spring in the Kanto region, aligning with seasonal normals around 16–19°C but skewed lower today by synoptic patterns including a weak frontal boundary. Model consensus from prior forecasts had anticipated similar mild conditions, now validated by surface measurements. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-evening temperature surge from sudden clearing—unlikely given the diurnal cycle and current cooling trend—or a rare data revision upon final JMA daily report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$245,229结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETJapan Meteorological Agency observations at the official Tokyo station have recorded a daytime high of 17°C as of late April 1, driving the near-unanimous 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Patchy rain and overcast skies limited solar heating, with temperatures peaking mid-afternoon amid moderate winds and cooler air masses typical for early spring in the Kanto region, aligning with seasonal normals around 16–19°C but skewed lower today by synoptic patterns including a weak frontal boundary. Model consensus from prior forecasts had anticipated similar mild conditions, now validated by surface measurements. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-evening temperature surge from sudden clearing—unlikely given the diurnal cycle and current cooling trend—or a rare data revision upon final JMA daily report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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