Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport confirms the highest temperature on March 27 reached exactly 21°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for 21°C or below and reflecting strong trader consensus backed by real capital. Persistent easterly winds carried cooler air masses into northern Taiwan, while extensive cloud cover from an approaching spring rain front suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, consistent with forecast models projecting highs of 18–20°C. This fits late-March climatological norms, where average highs hover around 21–22°C amid transitional seasonal patterns. Realistic challenges would require a rare official data revision from CWA or the designated resolution station, such as Taoyuan International Airport, confirming a higher peak—unlikely given synchronized reports across monitoring sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
21°C or below 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$108,766 交易量
$108,766 交易量
21°C or below
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$108,766 交易量
$108,766 交易量
21°C or below
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport confirms the highest temperature on March 27 reached exactly 21°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for 21°C or below and reflecting strong trader consensus backed by real capital. Persistent easterly winds carried cooler air masses into northern Taiwan, while extensive cloud cover from an approaching spring rain front suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, consistent with forecast models projecting highs of 18–20°C. This fits late-March climatological norms, where average highs hover around 21–22°C amid transitional seasonal patterns. Realistic challenges would require a rare official data revision from CWA or the designated resolution station, such as Taoyuan International Airport, confirming a higher peak—unlikely given synchronized reports across monitoring sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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