Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high temperature in Singapore on March 26, with 54.5% implied probability, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting morning thundery showers clearing to warm, humid conditions yielding a peak of 33°C amid light winds. This aligns with March's climatological norms—historical highs average 32.5–33.5°C during the inter-monsoon transition, when sea breezes and urban heat islands typically cap extremes below 34°C unless prolonged sunshine prevails. Recent NEA updates show stable model runs with low thunderstorm persistence risk, reducing odds for 34°C (14.5%) or higher, while yesterday's 32.4°C reading reinforces the 32–33°C cluster dominating sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 55%
32°C 24%
34°C 15%
31°C 3.2%
$48,025 交易量
$48,025 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
55%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 55%
32°C 24%
34°C 15%
31°C 3.2%
$48,025 交易量
$48,025 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
55%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high temperature in Singapore on March 26, with 54.5% implied probability, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting morning thundery showers clearing to warm, humid conditions yielding a peak of 33°C amid light winds. This aligns with March's climatological norms—historical highs average 32.5–33.5°C during the inter-monsoon transition, when sea breezes and urban heat islands typically cap extremes below 34°C unless prolonged sunshine prevails. Recent NEA updates show stable model runs with low thunderstorm persistence risk, reducing odds for 34°C (14.5%) or higher, while yesterday's 32.4°C reading reinforces the 32–33°C cluster dominating sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题