Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies, including model ensembles, project peak temperatures near 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, capturing trader consensus amid tight odds for 26–28°C outcomes. This positioning stems from a dominant subtropical ridge promoting abundant sunshine and above-average late-March warmth—about 3°C warmer than the 24°C climatological norm—while humid onshore sea breezes and scattered low clouds introduce uncertainty in maximum daytime heating. Key differentiators include sea breeze onset timing, which could cap peaks at 26°C if early, or permit 28°C with delays, against a typical 1–2°C model spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations during afternoon hours for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?
27°C 35%
28°C 26%
26°C 18%
29°C 13%
$23,405 交易量
$23,405 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
13%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 35%
28°C 26%
26°C 18%
29°C 13%
$23,405 交易量
$23,405 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
13%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies, including model ensembles, project peak temperatures near 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, capturing trader consensus amid tight odds for 26–28°C outcomes. This positioning stems from a dominant subtropical ridge promoting abundant sunshine and above-average late-March warmth—about 3°C warmer than the 24°C climatological norm—while humid onshore sea breezes and scattered low clouds introduce uncertainty in maximum daytime heating. Key differentiators include sea breeze onset timing, which could cap peaks at 26°C if early, or permit 28°C with delays, against a typical 1–2°C model spread. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations during afternoon hours for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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