Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations at Gimpo International Airport—the market's resolution station—drive strong trader consensus for an 11°C high temperature in Seoul today, with 76.6% implied probability. Morning readings near 5°C amid haze, 67% humidity, and light SSE winds at 1.3 m/s have capped diurnal heating, while persistent mist and partial cloud cover limit solar insolation. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align on a narrow 11–12°C peak this early afternoon, cooler than yesterday's 13°C due to a subtle influx of continental cool air mass. Late-March climatology averages 12°C highs; watch KMA's 5 p.m. update for intraday trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
12°C 50%
13°C 45.1%
14°C 9.8%
15°C 4.3%
$434,873 交易量
$434,873 交易量
11°C
<1%
12°C
44%
13°C
45%
14°C
10%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
13°C 45.1%
14°C 9.8%
15°C 4.3%
$434,873 交易量
$434,873 交易量
11°C
<1%
12°C
44%
13°C
45%
14°C
10%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations at Gimpo International Airport—the market's resolution station—drive strong trader consensus for an 11°C high temperature in Seoul today, with 76.6% implied probability. Morning readings near 5°C amid haze, 67% humidity, and light SSE winds at 1.3 m/s have capped diurnal heating, while persistent mist and partial cloud cover limit solar insolation. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align on a narrow 11–12°C peak this early afternoon, cooler than yesterday's 13°C due to a subtle influx of continental cool air mass. Late-March climatology averages 12°C highs; watch KMA's 5 p.m. update for intraday trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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