Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 12°C in Seoul on March 27 at 68.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast models showing consensus peaks around 12-13°C amid mild early spring conditions. Over the past 48 hours, updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs have shifted toward 12°C due to incoming northerly airflow introducing cooler continental air, reducing earlier leans toward 13°C from 24% trader odds. Climatological norms for late March in Seoul average 11.5°C, with current neutral ENSO patterns and stable jet stream positioning supporting limited intensification potential. Official KMA observations will confirm the high from Gimpo Airport station; daily forecast refinements expected through March 26 could adjust model spreads of ±1-2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月27日首尔气温最高？
3月27日首尔气温最高？
12°C 46%
13°C 40.5%
11°C 9.6%
14°C 4.7%
$427,247 交易量
$427,247 交易量
Mar 27, 2026
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
10%
12°C
46%
13°C
41%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16℃或更高
3%
12°C 46%
13°C 40.5%
11°C 9.6%
14°C 4.7%
$427,247 交易量
$427,247 交易量
Mar 27, 2026
6°C或以下
$119,120 交易量
<1%
7°C
$45,533 交易量
<1%
8°C
$44,044 交易量
<1%
9°C
$48,104 交易量
<1%
10°C
$38,183 交易量
<1%
11°C
$22,037 交易量
10%
12°C
$26,359 交易量
46%
13°C
$18,618 交易量
41%
14°C
$14,634 交易量
5%
15°C
$19,971 交易量
4%
16℃或更高
$33,279 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 12°C in Seoul on March 27 at 68.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast models showing consensus peaks around 12-13°C amid mild early spring conditions. Over the past 48 hours, updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs have shifted toward 12°C due to incoming northerly airflow introducing cooler continental air, reducing earlier leans toward 13°C from 24% trader odds. Climatological norms for late March in Seoul average 11.5°C, with current neutral ENSO patterns and stable jet stream positioning supporting limited intensification potential. Official KMA observations will confirm the high from Gimpo Airport station; daily forecast refinements expected through March 26 could adjust model spreads of ±1-2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$427,247结束日期
Mar 27, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 12°C in Seoul on March 27 at 68.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast models showing consensus peaks around 12-13°C amid mild early spring conditions. Over the past 48 hours, updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs have shifted toward 12°C due to incoming northerly airflow introducing cooler continental air, reducing earlier leans toward 13°C from 24% trader odds. Climatological norms for late March in Seoul average 11.5°C, with current neutral ENSO patterns and stable jet stream positioning supporting limited intensification potential. Official KMA observations will confirm the high from Gimpo Airport station; daily forecast refinements expected through March 26 could adjust model spreads of ±1-2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$427,247结束日期
Mar 27, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high temperature of 12°C in Seoul on March 27 at 68.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecast models showing consensus peaks around 12-13°C amid mild early spring conditions. Over the past 48 hours, updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs have shifted toward 12°C due to incoming northerly airflow introducing cooler continental air, reducing earlier leans toward 13°C from 24% trader odds. Climatological norms for late March in Seoul average 11.5°C, with current neutral ENSO patterns and stable jet stream positioning supporting limited intensification potential. Official KMA observations will confirm the high from Gimpo Airport station; daily forecast refinements expected through March 26 could adjust model spreads of ±1-2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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