Hong Kong Observatory's automatic weather station network recorded a peak temperature of exactly 28°C across Hong Kong on March 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Verified observations from multiple stations, despite an amber rainstorm signal and thunderstorms from a low-pressure trough limiting prolonged sunshine, confirm this maximum during scattered sunny intervals—above the March climatological mean of around 22°C and consistent with the Observatory's spring forecast for normal to above-normal temperatures following a record-warm winter. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include an ultra-rare data audit or station recalibration by the Observatory, though daily records are finalized post-quality checks with negligible revision risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?
28°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$242,435 交易量
$242,435 交易量
2026-03-30
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$242,435 交易量
$242,435 交易量
2026-03-30
19°C or below
$7,377 交易量
No
20°C
$3,508 交易量
No
21°C
$7,786 交易量
No
22°C
$8,712 交易量
No
23°C
$7,609 交易量
No
24°C
$11,290 交易量
No
25°C
$17,598 交易量
No
26°C
$23,114 交易量
No
27°C
$36,005 交易量
No
28°C
$92,189 交易量
Yes
29°C or higher
$27,248 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's automatic weather station network recorded a peak temperature of exactly 28°C across Hong Kong on March 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Verified observations from multiple stations, despite an amber rainstorm signal and thunderstorms from a low-pressure trough limiting prolonged sunshine, confirm this maximum during scattered sunny intervals—above the March climatological mean of around 22°C and consistent with the Observatory's spring forecast for normal to above-normal temperatures following a record-warm winter. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include an ultra-rare data audit or station recalibration by the Observatory, though daily records are finalized post-quality checks with negligible revision risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
交易量
$242,435结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's automatic weather station network recorded a peak temperature of exactly 28°C across Hong Kong on March 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Verified observations from multiple stations, despite an amber rainstorm signal and thunderstorms from a low-pressure trough limiting prolonged sunshine, confirm this maximum during scattered sunny intervals—above the March climatological mean of around 22°C and consistent with the Observatory's spring forecast for normal to above-normal temperatures following a record-warm winter. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include an ultra-rare data audit or station recalibration by the Observatory, though daily records are finalized post-quality checks with negligible revision risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$242,435结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's automatic weather station network recorded a peak temperature of exactly 28°C across Hong Kong on March 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Verified observations from multiple stations, despite an amber rainstorm signal and thunderstorms from a low-pressure trough limiting prolonged sunshine, confirm this maximum during scattered sunny intervals—above the March climatological mean of around 22°C and consistent with the Observatory's spring forecast for normal to above-normal temperatures following a record-warm winter. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include an ultra-rare data audit or station recalibration by the Observatory, though daily records are finalized post-quality checks with negligible revision risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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