Hong Kong Observatory forecasts confirm a high likelihood of the city's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on March 26, with urban areas expected to hit 28-30°C under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show March 25 maxima near 28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus indicating continued warm advection and no imminent cooling influences like sea breezes or fronts. This drives trader consensus to near 100% implied probability for the warmer outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted showers or sudden wind shifts, though current data shows scant support; intraday updates from the Observatory will refine this further as measurements unfold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月26日香港气温最高？
3月26日香港气温最高？
28°C或以上 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$251,521 交易量
$251,521 交易量
Mar 26, 2026
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
是
28°C或以上 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$251,521 交易量
$251,521 交易量
Mar 26, 2026
18°C或以下
$25,727 交易量
否
19°C
$11,576 交易量
否
20°C
$13,016 交易量
否
21°C
$12,405 交易量
否
22°C
$17,063 交易量
否
23°C
$27,374 交易量
否
24°C
$23,922 交易量
否
25°C
$19,776 交易量
否
26°C
$23,435 交易量
否
27°C
$20,764 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$56,464 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts confirm a high likelihood of the city's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on March 26, with urban areas expected to hit 28-30°C under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show March 25 maxima near 28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus indicating continued warm advection and no imminent cooling influences like sea breezes or fronts. This drives trader consensus to near 100% implied probability for the warmer outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted showers or sudden wind shifts, though current data shows scant support; intraday updates from the Observatory will refine this further as measurements unfold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$251,521结束日期
Mar 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts confirm a high likelihood of the city's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on March 26, with urban areas expected to hit 28-30°C under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show March 25 maxima near 28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus indicating continued warm advection and no imminent cooling influences like sea breezes or fronts. This drives trader consensus to near 100% implied probability for the warmer outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted showers or sudden wind shifts, though current data shows scant support; intraday updates from the Observatory will refine this further as measurements unfold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$251,521结束日期
Mar 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Hong Kong Observatory forecasts confirm a high likelihood of the city's highest temperature reaching 28°C or higher on March 26, with urban areas expected to hit 28-30°C under sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show March 25 maxima near 28°C, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model consensus indicating continued warm advection and no imminent cooling influences like sea breezes or fronts. This drives trader consensus to near 100% implied probability for the warmer outcome, reflecting skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance. Realistic challenges include unforecasted showers or sudden wind shifts, though current data shows scant support; intraday updates from the Observatory will refine this further as measurements unfold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题