Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 21°C in Chongqing today at 95.8%, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local stations, which project daytime maximums around 20–21°C amid persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds in the Yangtze River basin. Morning observations as of early April 1 show temperatures hovering near 15–17°C with overcast skies, aligning with early-spring climatology where average highs are 20.9°C, constrained by frequent fog and inversions typical of Chongqing's topography. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS analogs show minimal deviation, supporting this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating, potentially pushing to 22°C, or stronger cold air advection keeping it at 20°C; key updates expected from CMA hourly bulletins through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
21°C 96.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$113,190 交易量
$113,190 交易量
20°C
<1%
21°C
96%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 96.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$113,190 交易量
$113,190 交易量
20°C
<1%
21°C
96%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high of 21°C in Chongqing today at 95.8%, reflecting the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local stations, which project daytime maximums around 20–21°C amid persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds in the Yangtze River basin. Morning observations as of early April 1 show temperatures hovering near 15–17°C with overcast skies, aligning with early-spring climatology where average highs are 20.9°C, constrained by frequent fog and inversions typical of Chongqing's topography. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS analogs show minimal deviation, supporting this positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating, potentially pushing to 22°C, or stronger cold air advection keeping it at 20°C; key updates expected from CMA hourly bulletins through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题