Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Therese Terlaje at 61.5% implied probability to win Guam's Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her commanding lead in the latest July 2024 BPI poll (45% support) and top fundraising totals exceeding $200,000 as Speaker of the Legislature. Josh Tenorio trails at 32%, bolstered by his senatorial experience and regional support in northern Guam, per voter surveys, while Joe S. San Agustin holds 18.5% amid name recognition from business ties but weaker polling. Recent catalysts include Terlaje's endorsement from outgoing Governor Lou Leon Guerrero's allies and Tenorio's campaign rallies, with no major shifts from the August 2026 primary date amid stable turnout expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Therese Terlaje 59%
乔什·特诺里奥 32%
乔·S·圣阿古斯丁 20%
$10,575 交易量
$10,575 交易量
Aug 1, 2026
Therese Terlaje
59%
乔什·特诺里奥
21%
乔·S·圣阿古斯丁
20%
Therese Terlaje 59%
乔什·特诺里奥 32%
乔·S·圣阿古斯丁 20%
$10,575 交易量
$10,575 交易量
Aug 1, 2026
Therese Terlaje
$1,463 交易量
59%
乔什·特诺里奥
$7,366 交易量
21%
乔·S·圣阿古斯丁
$1,746 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
交易量
$10,575结束日期
Aug 1, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$10,575结束日期
Aug 1, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Therese Terlaje at 61.5% implied probability to win Guam's Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by her commanding lead in the latest July 2024 BPI poll (45% support) and top fundraising totals exceeding $200,000 as Speaker of the Legislature. Josh Tenorio trails at 32%, bolstered by his senatorial experience and regional support in northern Guam, per voter surveys, while Joe S. San Agustin holds 18.5% amid name recognition from business ties but weaker polling. Recent catalysts include Terlaje's endorsement from outgoing Governor Lou Leon Guerrero's allies and Tenorio's campaign rallies, with no major shifts from the August 2026 primary date amid stable turnout expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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