Trader consensus locks in 320-339 tweets for Elon Musk from March 13-20, 2026, at 100% implied probability, anchored by his consistent 38-42 posts per day tracked via analytics sites like SocialBlade and ElonStats over the past year. Recent weeks show steady volume around 330 weekly amid ongoing X engagement spikes from Tesla updates and political commentary, aligning with historical patterns during non-event periods. This frontrunner holds firm absent major catalysts, but an upset into 340-359 could stem from a viral controversy, product launch frenzy, or election-cycle surge—scenarios that have historically boosted his output by 15-20% in past high-drama weeks. Barring such volatility, the market reflects Elon's predictable hyperactive posting rhythm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于320-339 100.0%
＜20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,850,093 交易量
$3,850,093 交易量
＜20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200-219
否
220-239
否
240-259
否
260-279
否
280-299
否
300-319
否
320-339
是
340-359
否
360-379
否
380-399
否
400-419
否
420-439
否
440-459
否
460-479
否
480-499
否
500-519
否
520-539
否
540-559
否
560-579
否
580+
否
320-339 100.0%
＜20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,850,093 交易量
$3,850,093 交易量
＜20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200-219
否
220-239
否
240-259
否
260-279
否
280-299
否
300-319
否
320-339
是
340-359
否
360-379
否
380-399
否
400-419
否
420-439
否
440-459
否
460-479
否
480-499
否
500-519
否
520-539
否
540-559
否
560-579
否
580+
否
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus locks in 320-339 tweets for Elon Musk from March 13-20, 2026, at 100% implied probability, anchored by his consistent 38-42 posts per day tracked via analytics sites like SocialBlade and ElonStats over the past year. Recent weeks show steady volume around 330 weekly amid ongoing X engagement spikes from Tesla updates and political commentary, aligning with historical patterns during non-event periods. This frontrunner holds firm absent major catalysts, but an upset into 340-359 could stem from a viral controversy, product launch frenzy, or election-cycle surge—scenarios that have historically boosted his output by 15-20% in past high-drama weeks. Barring such volatility, the market reflects Elon's predictable hyperactive posting rhythm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题