Polymarket traders' strong 89% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Israel's May 28 benchmark rate reflects the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision to hold at 4.00% amid renewed inflationary pressures from surging global energy prices tied to the Iran conflict. Geopolitical risks and trimmed 2026 growth forecasts have prompted caution, with inflation projections rising to 2.3% over the next year—still within the 1-3% target—despite January CPI slowing. Governor Yaron signaled potential 25-50 basis point cuts later if inflation stabilizes, explaining the 9.5% odds on a decrease, while hikes at 0.7% appear improbable absent sharper price acceleration. Upcoming April CPI data will inform sentiment ahead of the meeting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于维持不变 92%
下调 8%
上调 <1%
$11,830 交易量
$11,830 交易量
2026-05-25
下调
8%
维持不变
92%
上调
1%
维持不变 92%
下调 8%
上调 <1%
$11,830 交易量
$11,830 交易量
2026-05-25
下调
$1,253 交易量
8%
维持不变
$9,433 交易量
92%
上调
$1,145 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders' strong 89% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Israel's May 28 benchmark rate reflects the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision to hold at 4.00% amid renewed inflationary pressures from surging global energy prices tied to the Iran conflict. Geopolitical risks and trimmed 2026 growth forecasts have prompted caution, with inflation projections rising to 2.3% over the next year—still within the 1-3% target—despite January CPI slowing. Governor Yaron signaled potential 25-50 basis point cuts later if inflation stabilizes, explaining the 9.5% odds on a decrease, while hikes at 0.7% appear improbable absent sharper price acceleration. Upcoming April CPI data will inform sentiment ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$11,830结束日期
2026-05-25市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders' strong 89% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Israel's May 28 benchmark rate reflects the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision to hold at 4.00% amid renewed inflationary pressures from surging global energy prices tied to the Iran conflict. Geopolitical risks and trimmed 2026 growth forecasts have prompted caution, with inflation projections rising to 2.3% over the next year—still within the 1-3% target—despite January CPI slowing. Governor Yaron signaled potential 25-50 basis point cuts later if inflation stabilizes, explaining the 9.5% odds on a decrease, while hikes at 0.7% appear improbable absent sharper price acceleration. Upcoming April CPI data will inform sentiment ahead of the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$11,830结束日期
2026-05-25市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' strong 89% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Israel's May 28 benchmark rate reflects the Monetary Committee's March 30 decision to hold at 4.00% amid renewed inflationary pressures from surging global energy prices tied to the Iran conflict. Geopolitical risks and trimmed 2026 growth forecasts have prompted caution, with inflation projections rising to 2.3% over the next year—still within the 1-3% target—despite January CPI slowing. Governor Yaron signaled potential 25-50 basis point cuts later if inflation stabilizes, explaining the 9.5% odds on a decrease, while hikes at 0.7% appear improbable absent sharper price acceleration. Upcoming April CPI data will inform sentiment ahead of the meeting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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