Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Clayton Johnson at 28.5% implied probability to win Bachelorette Season 22, narrowly ahead of Aaron Kahng's 24.4%, driven by Clayton's standout hometown date chemistry and family endorsements in the latest episode, boosting his frontrunner narrative. Aaron holds strong with consistent one-on-one time and fan-favorite charm, but recent group date drama slightly eroded his momentum. The pack thins rapidly beyond them, with Matt Carroll at 7.8% buoyed by social media buzz but lacking key connections. Dynamics hinge on upcoming fantasy suites and overnight dates, where emotional vulnerability and final rose decisions could swing odds, as historical patterns show late-stage edits often predict winners amid volatile viewer sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于单身女郎第22赛季获奖者
单身女郎第22赛季获奖者
克莱顿·约翰逊 28.4%
亚伦·康 24.4%
道格·梅森 6.8%
Rod Strozier 5.7%
$52,092 交易量
$52,092 交易量
克莱顿·约翰逊
28%
亚伦·康
24%
道格·梅森
7%
Rod Strozier
6%
理查德·范德沃特
5%
克里斯托弗·伍德
2%
约翰尼·拉罗莎
2%
康拉德·乌克罗皮纳
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Josh Harward
1%
布兰登·珀斯
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
迈克尔·巴巴
1%
布拉德·莱德福德
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
马特·卡罗尔
8%
凯文·蒙特罗
<1%
马库斯·理查森
<1%
特伦顿·梅里尔
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
马利克·埃文斯
<1%
克莱顿·约翰逊 28.4%
亚伦·康 24.4%
道格·梅森 6.8%
Rod Strozier 5.7%
$52,092 交易量
$52,092 交易量
克莱顿·约翰逊
28%
亚伦·康
24%
道格·梅森
7%
Rod Strozier
6%
理查德·范德沃特
5%
克里斯托弗·伍德
2%
约翰尼·拉罗莎
2%
康拉德·乌克罗皮纳
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Josh Harward
1%
布兰登·珀斯
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
迈克尔·巴巴
1%
布拉德·莱德福德
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
马特·卡罗尔
8%
凯文·蒙特罗
<1%
马库斯·理查森
<1%
特伦顿·梅里尔
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
马利克·埃文斯
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
市场开放时间: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward Clayton Johnson at 28.5% implied probability to win Bachelorette Season 22, narrowly ahead of Aaron Kahng's 24.4%, driven by Clayton's standout hometown date chemistry and family endorsements in the latest episode, boosting his frontrunner narrative. Aaron holds strong with consistent one-on-one time and fan-favorite charm, but recent group date drama slightly eroded his momentum. The pack thins rapidly beyond them, with Matt Carroll at 7.8% buoyed by social media buzz but lacking key connections. Dynamics hinge on upcoming fantasy suites and overnight dates, where emotional vulnerability and final rose decisions could swing odds, as historical patterns show late-stage edits often predict winners amid volatile viewer sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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