Trader consensus reflects a 62.5% implied probability for No as Clavicular sustains strong emotional form through Day 18 of his intense 30-day Mog World Order marathon on Kick, avoiding visible tears despite escalating pressures. Recent developments, including his March 27 battery arrest release, girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 surrender on a serious warrant, and April 2 backlash over rapper income comments, have fueled near-breakdowns and sudden stream endings due to illness, yet he has held composure without full meltdowns—mirroring March vulnerabilities from rejections and isolation but showing newfound resilience in this high-stakes endurance test with under a month until resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于锁骨会在2026年5月1日流泪
锁骨会在2026年5月1日流泪
$17,698 交易量
$17,698 交易量
2026-05-01
$17,698 交易量
$17,698 交易量
2026-05-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects a 62.5% implied probability for No as Clavicular sustains strong emotional form through Day 18 of his intense 30-day Mog World Order marathon on Kick, avoiding visible tears despite escalating pressures. Recent developments, including his March 27 battery arrest release, girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 surrender on a serious warrant, and April 2 backlash over rapper income comments, have fueled near-breakdowns and sudden stream endings due to illness, yet he has held composure without full meltdowns—mirroring March vulnerabilities from rejections and isolation but showing newfound resilience in this high-stakes endurance test with under a month until resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
交易量
$17,698结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects a 62.5% implied probability for No as Clavicular sustains strong emotional form through Day 18 of his intense 30-day Mog World Order marathon on Kick, avoiding visible tears despite escalating pressures. Recent developments, including his March 27 battery arrest release, girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 surrender on a serious warrant, and April 2 backlash over rapper income comments, have fueled near-breakdowns and sudden stream endings due to illness, yet he has held composure without full meltdowns—mirroring March vulnerabilities from rejections and isolation but showing newfound resilience in this high-stakes endurance test with under a month until resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
交易量
$17,698结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 62.5% implied probability for No as Clavicular sustains strong emotional form through Day 18 of his intense 30-day Mog World Order marathon on Kick, avoiding visible tears despite escalating pressures. Recent developments, including his March 27 battery arrest release, girlfriend Violet Lentz's March 31 surrender on a serious warrant, and April 2 backlash over rapper income comments, have fueled near-breakdowns and sudden stream endings due to illness, yet he has held composure without full meltdowns—mirroring March vulnerabilities from rejections and isolation but showing newfound resilience in this high-stakes endurance test with under a month until resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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