Clavicular's recent arrest on March 26 in Fort Lauderdale for battery charges—his second in 2026—has sharply curtailed his nightlife activity, halting a marathon Kick stream and fueling trader consensus toward a moderate clubbing tally of 3-4 times (41.3% implied probability), as the month closes on March 31. A confirmed clip from March 20 shows him clubbing and fielding interview questions, anchoring the low-to-mid range, while sparse updates from tracking accounts like @Clav0Updates leave room for debate on unreported early-March outings. The razor-thin gap with 11+ (39.8%) reflects uncertainty over discrete instances post-market launch on March 10, with legal fallout and no official tracker keeping this esports-adjacent celebrity market tightly contested among skin-in-the-game bettors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于How many times will Clavicular go clubbing in March?
How many times will Clavicular go clubbing in March?
0-2 10.4%
3-4 0
11+ 0
$947 交易量
$947 交易量
2026-03-31
0-2
10%
3-4
41%
11+
40%
0-2 10.4%
3-4 0
11+ 0
$947 交易量
$947 交易量
2026-03-31
0-2
$345 交易量
10%
3-4
$270 交易量
41%
11+
$331 交易量
40%
This market will resolve to the number of times Clavicular goes clubbing during the month of March 2026.
"Times" refers to discrete instances (separate nights) where Clavicular is physically present inside a nightclub, club, or similar nightlife venue (with music, dancing, and/or bottle service) for any duration of time.
Club appearances prior to this market being put up do not count.
Streaming from inside the club, posting videos or photos from the club, or being visibly filmed while clubbing will all count as evidence. Simply walking past a club, going to a bar that is not a nightclub, attending private parties, or off-stream club visits with no public evidence will not qualify.
Each separate night he enters a club counts as one instance, even if he visits multiple clubs in the same night.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular), credible video clips, photos, or stories posted by Clavicular himself, or a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence showing him inside a club during March 2026.Clavicular's recent arrest on March 26 in Fort Lauderdale for battery charges—his second in 2026—has sharply curtailed his nightlife activity, halting a marathon Kick stream and fueling trader consensus toward a moderate clubbing tally of 3-4 times (41.3% implied probability), as the month closes on March 31. A confirmed clip from March 20 shows him clubbing and fielding interview questions, anchoring the low-to-mid range, while sparse updates from tracking accounts like @Clav0Updates leave room for debate on unreported early-March outings. The razor-thin gap with 11+ (39.8%) reflects uncertainty over discrete instances post-market launch on March 10, with legal fallout and no official tracker keeping this esports-adjacent celebrity market tightly contested among skin-in-the-game bettors.
This market will resolve to the number of times Clavicular goes clubbing during the month of March 2026.
"Times" refers to discrete instances (separate nights) where Clavicular is physically present inside a nightclub, club, or similar nightlife venue (with music, dancing, and/or bottle service) for any duration of time.
Club appearances prior to this market being put up do not count.
Streaming from inside the club, posting videos or photos from the club, or being visibly filmed while clubbing will all count as evidence. Simply walking past a club, going to a bar that is not a nightclub, attending private parties, or off-stream club visits with no public evidence will not qualify.
Each separate night he enters a club counts as one instance, even if he visits multiple clubs in the same night.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular), credible video clips, photos, or stories posted by Clavicular himself, or a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence showing him inside a club during March 2026.
"Times" refers to discrete instances (separate nights) where Clavicular is physically present inside a nightclub, club, or similar nightlife venue (with music, dancing, and/or bottle service) for any duration of time.
Club appearances prior to this market being put up do not count.
Streaming from inside the club, posting videos or photos from the club, or being visibly filmed while clubbing will all count as evidence. Simply walking past a club, going to a bar that is not a nightclub, attending private parties, or off-stream club visits with no public evidence will not qualify.
Each separate night he enters a club counts as one instance, even if he visits multiple clubs in the same night.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular), credible video clips, photos, or stories posted by Clavicular himself, or a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence showing him inside a club during March 2026.
市场开放时间： Mar 10, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
交易量
$947结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 10, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of times Clavicular goes clubbing during the month of March 2026.
"Times" refers to discrete instances (separate nights) where Clavicular is physically present inside a nightclub, club, or similar nightlife venue (with music, dancing, and/or bottle service) for any duration of time.
Club appearances prior to this market being put up do not count.
Streaming from inside the club, posting videos or photos from the club, or being visibly filmed while clubbing will all count as evidence. Simply walking past a club, going to a bar that is not a nightclub, attending private parties, or off-stream club visits with no public evidence will not qualify.
Each separate night he enters a club counts as one instance, even if he visits multiple clubs in the same night.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular), credible video clips, photos, or stories posted by Clavicular himself, or a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence showing him inside a club during March 2026.Clavicular's recent arrest on March 26 in Fort Lauderdale for battery charges—his second in 2026—has sharply curtailed his nightlife activity, halting a marathon Kick stream and fueling trader consensus toward a moderate clubbing tally of 3-4 times (41.3% implied probability), as the month closes on March 31. A confirmed clip from March 20 shows him clubbing and fielding interview questions, anchoring the low-to-mid range, while sparse updates from tracking accounts like @Clav0Updates leave room for debate on unreported early-March outings. The razor-thin gap with 11+ (39.8%) reflects uncertainty over discrete instances post-market launch on March 10, with legal fallout and no official tracker keeping this esports-adjacent celebrity market tightly contested among skin-in-the-game bettors.
This market will resolve to the number of times Clavicular goes clubbing during the month of March 2026.
"Times" refers to discrete instances (separate nights) where Clavicular is physically present inside a nightclub, club, or similar nightlife venue (with music, dancing, and/or bottle service) for any duration of time.
Club appearances prior to this market being put up do not count.
Streaming from inside the club, posting videos or photos from the club, or being visibly filmed while clubbing will all count as evidence. Simply walking past a club, going to a bar that is not a nightclub, attending private parties, or off-stream club visits with no public evidence will not qualify.
Each separate night he enters a club counts as one instance, even if he visits multiple clubs in the same night.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular), credible video clips, photos, or stories posted by Clavicular himself, or a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence showing him inside a club during March 2026.
"Times" refers to discrete instances (separate nights) where Clavicular is physically present inside a nightclub, club, or similar nightlife venue (with music, dancing, and/or bottle service) for any duration of time.
Club appearances prior to this market being put up do not count.
Streaming from inside the club, posting videos or photos from the club, or being visibly filmed while clubbing will all count as evidence. Simply walking past a club, going to a bar that is not a nightclub, attending private parties, or off-stream club visits with no public evidence will not qualify.
Each separate night he enters a club counts as one instance, even if he visits multiple clubs in the same night.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Kick.com (e.g., https://www.kick.com/clavicular), credible video clips, photos, or stories posted by Clavicular himself, or a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence showing him inside a club during March 2026.
交易量
$947结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 10, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clavicular's recent arrest on March 26 in Fort Lauderdale for battery charges—his second in 2026—has sharply curtailed his nightlife activity, halting a marathon Kick stream and fueling trader consensus toward a moderate clubbing tally of 3-4 times (41.3% implied probability), as the month closes on March 31. A confirmed clip from March 20 shows him clubbing and fielding interview questions, anchoring the low-to-mid range, while sparse updates from tracking accounts like @Clav0Updates leave room for debate on unreported early-March outings. The razor-thin gap with 11+ (39.8%) reflects uncertainty over discrete instances post-market launch on March 10, with legal fallout and no official tracker keeping this esports-adjacent celebrity market tightly contested among skin-in-the-game bettors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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