Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 55% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above $175 by March 29, driven primarily by the stock's recent 5% pullback from $182 highs amid softening iPhone demand in China and antitrust scrutiny from the DOJ. AAPL trades at $172.45 today, with support near its 50-day moving average of $170. Key tailwinds include $110 billion buyback program and Vision Pro momentum, though Q2 earnings on May 2 loom beyond resolution. Macro boosts from Fed rate cut odds (70% for June per CME FedWatch) support tech, but quarter-end flows and CPI data Thursday could sway volatility; watch $170 threshold for downside risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$258,933 交易量
210美元
98%
$220
94%
230美元
94%
240美元
82%
250美元
50%
$260
18%
$270
5%
280美元
10%
$290
2%
300美元
2%
310美元
2%
$320
2%
$330
<1%
$258,933 交易量
210美元
98%
$220
94%
230美元
94%
240美元
82%
250美元
50%
$260
18%
$270
5%
280美元
10%
$290
2%
300美元
2%
310美元
2%
$320
2%
$330
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市场开放时间: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 55% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above $175 by March 29, driven primarily by the stock's recent 5% pullback from $182 highs amid softening iPhone demand in China and antitrust scrutiny from the DOJ. AAPL trades at $172.45 today, with support near its 50-day moving average of $170. Key tailwinds include $110 billion buyback program and Vision Pro momentum, though Q2 earnings on May 2 loom beyond resolution. Macro boosts from Fed rate cut odds (70% for June per CME FedWatch) support tech, but quarter-end flows and CPI data Thursday could sway volatility; watch $170 threshold for downside risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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