Trader consensus prices an 80.5% "No" probability on any MrBeast video hitting 50 million first-day YouTube views by April 30, driven by recent underwhelming opening-day metrics. His mid-March 2026 release, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," stalled at 36 million views despite hype, ranking mid-tier among his last 10 videos amid mixed feedback on repetitive challenges. Prior March uploads like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" echoed this sub-50 million velocity, a sharp drop from 2024 peaks fueled by viral stunts like Beast Games qualifiers. Absent blockbuster teases or cross-platform promo surges, markets reflect saturation risks, though an unannounced mega-challenge could ignite late-month algorithmic push before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?
最新
最新
2026-04-30
最新
最新
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus prices an 80.5% "No" probability on any MrBeast video hitting 50 million first-day YouTube views by April 30, driven by recent underwhelming opening-day metrics. His mid-March 2026 release, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," stalled at 36 million views despite hype, ranking mid-tier among his last 10 videos amid mixed feedback on repetitive challenges. Prior March uploads like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" echoed this sub-50 million velocity, a sharp drop from 2024 peaks fueled by viral stunts like Beast Games qualifiers. Absent blockbuster teases or cross-platform promo surges, markets reflect saturation risks, though an unannounced mega-challenge could ignite late-month algorithmic push before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
交易量
$9,361结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus prices an 80.5% "No" probability on any MrBeast video hitting 50 million first-day YouTube views by April 30, driven by recent underwhelming opening-day metrics. His mid-March 2026 release, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," stalled at 36 million views despite hype, ranking mid-tier among his last 10 videos amid mixed feedback on repetitive challenges. Prior March uploads like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" echoed this sub-50 million velocity, a sharp drop from 2024 peaks fueled by viral stunts like Beast Games qualifiers. Absent blockbuster teases or cross-platform promo surges, markets reflect saturation risks, though an unannounced mega-challenge could ignite late-month algorithmic push before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
交易量
$9,361结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 80.5% "No" probability on any MrBeast video hitting 50 million first-day YouTube views by April 30, driven by recent underwhelming opening-day metrics. His mid-March 2026 release, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," stalled at 36 million views despite hype, ranking mid-tier among his last 10 videos amid mixed feedback on repetitive challenges. Prior March uploads like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" echoed this sub-50 million velocity, a sharp drop from 2024 peaks fueled by viral stunts like Beast Games qualifiers. Absent blockbuster teases or cross-platform promo surges, markets reflect saturation risks, though an unannounced mega-challenge could ignite late-month algorithmic push before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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