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Trans 預測與賠率

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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

49%

20+

$477K 交易量

$49.1K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

64%

20-39

$78.4K 交易量

$23.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 17 小時前

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

4%

$2.5K 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

4

Ends 8 個月內

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

1%

$138K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 1 個月內

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

20%

$1.5K 交易量

$1.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

87%

0-10

$306K 交易量

$73.0K today

$116K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

3%

Nuclear

$14M 交易量

$3M today

$610K Liq.

2,351

Ends 3 天前

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

11%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$2M 交易量

$177K today

$203K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

28%

Silicon Valley

$93.1K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 17 小時前

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

96%

China

$4.3K 交易量

$12.9K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

88%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$1.6K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

96%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

125

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

94%

Baby

$10.9K 交易量

$634 Liq.

Ends 大約 17 小時前

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

82%

200,000+

$121K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

33

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

42%

60-79

$7.3K 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

49%

160-179

$9.3K 交易量

$60.4K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

44%

80-99

$1.3K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

56%

June 30

$16M 交易量

$995K today

$287K Liq.

750

Ends 13 天內

Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

Vitality Academy

$34.0K 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 2 天前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trans.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Trans that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trans predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.