Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market at similar implied probabilities because both boast exceptional squad depth, recent major tournament success, and standout young talents heading into the expanded 48-team field. Spain’s status stems from its Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League results, bolstered by players like Lamine Yamal. France counters with unmatched talent across positions and a history of deep runs. England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely due to consistent form, star power, and favorable paths, while Germany and the Netherlands sit just behind amid strong qualifying campaigns. This bunching reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing multiple high-caliber European and South American sides with realistic title chances in a wide-open competition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於西班牙 16.8%
法國 16.4%
英格蘭 11.2%
葡萄牙 10.1%
$1,295,118,831 交易量
$1,295,118,831 交易量

西班牙
17%

法國
16%

英格蘭
11%

葡萄牙
10%

巴西
9%

阿根廷
9%

德國
5%

荷蘭
4%

挪威
3%

日本
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

比利時
2%

摩洛哥
1%

美國
1%

瑞士
1%

烏拉圭
1%

墨西哥
1%

厄瓜多
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

土耳其
1%

塞內加爾
1%

奧地利
1%

瑞典
1%

加拿大
<1%

南韓
<1%

加納
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

象牙海岸
<1%

捷克
<1%

埃及
<1%

伊朗
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

澳洲
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

伊拉克
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
西班牙 16.8%
法國 16.4%
英格蘭 11.2%
葡萄牙 10.1%
$1,295,118,831 交易量
$1,295,118,831 交易量

西班牙
17%

法國
16%

英格蘭
11%

葡萄牙
10%

巴西
9%

阿根廷
9%

德國
5%

荷蘭
4%

挪威
3%

日本
2%

哥倫比亞
2%

比利時
2%

摩洛哥
1%

美國
1%

瑞士
1%

烏拉圭
1%

墨西哥
1%

厄瓜多
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

土耳其
1%

塞內加爾
1%

奧地利
1%

瑞典
1%

加拿大
<1%

南韓
<1%

加納
<1%

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納
<1%

巴拉圭
<1%

蘇格蘭
<1%

象牙海岸
<1%

捷克
<1%

埃及
<1%

伊朗
<1%

阿爾及利亞
<1%

突尼西亞
<1%

剛果民主共和國
<1%

澳洲
<1%

紐西蘭
<1%

海地
<1%

約旦
<1%

庫拉索
<1%

烏茲別克
<1%

巴拿馬
<1%

伊拉克
<1%

南非
<1%

佛得角
<1%

卡達
<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market at similar implied probabilities because both boast exceptional squad depth, recent major tournament success, and standout young talents heading into the expanded 48-team field. Spain’s status stems from its Euro 2024 title and strong Nations League results, bolstered by players like Lamine Yamal. France counters with unmatched talent across positions and a history of deep runs. England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely due to consistent form, star power, and favorable paths, while Germany and the Netherlands sit just behind amid strong qualifying campaigns. This bunching reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing multiple high-caliber European and South American sides with realistic title chances in a wide-open competition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions