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icon for 世界杯：金靴獎得主
運動·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴獎得主

icon for 世界杯：金靴獎得主
運動·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴獎得主

基利安·姆巴佩 100.0%

萊昂內爾·梅西 <1%

克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多 <1%

裘德·貝靈咸 <1%

Polymarket

$76,664,218 交易量

基利安·姆巴佩 100.0%

萊昂內爾·梅西 <1%

克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多 <1%

裘德·貝靈咸 <1%

Polymarket

$76,664,218 交易量

萊昂內爾·梅西

$11,152,808 交易量

否

克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多

$3,367,960 交易量

否

裘德·貝靈咸

$3,596,133 交易量

否

拉菲尼亞

$404,226 交易量

否

諾亞·奧卡弗

$374,269 交易量

否

斯科特·麥克托米奈

$292,882 交易量

否

羅德里戈

$276,379 交易量

否

德尼茲·翁達夫

$817,981 交易量

否

阿馬德·迪亞洛

$677,469 交易量

否

Depay Memphis

$400,213 交易量

否

厄林·哈蘭德

$2,903,653 交易量

否

基利安·姆巴佩

$8,273,739 交易量

是

拉明·亞馬爾

$2,641,574 交易量

否

孫興慜

$324,299 交易量

否

埃丁·哲科

$301,524 交易量

否

維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾

$1,647,835 交易量

否

伊戈爾·蒂亞戈

$1,649,558 交易量

否

塞爾吉·格納布里

$212,871 交易量

否

維克多·約克雷斯

$428,036 交易量

否

科迪·加克波

$2,100,160 交易量

否

費蘭·托雷斯

$646,161 交易量

否

馬爾庫斯·圖拉姆

$219,849 交易量

否

奧斯曼·登貝萊

$4,120,566 交易量

否

邁克爾·奧利塞

$2,647,205 交易量

否

路易斯·迪亞斯

$512,979 交易量

否

伊萬·佩里西奇

$279,137 交易量

否

安德烈·克拉馬里奇

$263,767 交易量

否

穆罕默德·薩拉赫

$493,684 交易量

否

丹尼·奧爾莫

$458,303 交易量

否

德西雷·杜埃

$723,374 交易量

否

布拉德利·巴爾科拉

$1,174,585 交易量

否

薩迪奧·馬內

$301,284 交易量

否

拉斐爾·萊奧

$842,465 交易量

否

朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯

$797,813 交易量

否

布卡約·薩卡

$1,594,522 交易量

否

哈里·凱恩

$4,246,503 交易量

否

拉奧塔羅·馬丁內斯

$630,207 交易量

否

布魯諾·費爾南德斯

$440,260 交易量

否

佩德里

$572,355 交易量

否

路易斯·哈維爾·蘇亞雷斯

$610,090 交易量

否

凱·哈弗茨

$674,048 交易量

否

羅梅盧·盧卡庫

$1,652,858 交易量

否

蒂姆·佩恩

$43,358 交易量

否

多尼耶爾·馬倫

$720,499 交易量

否

Antoine Semenyo

$498,338 交易量

否

米克爾·奧亞薩瓦爾

$5,683,265 交易量

否

費德里科·巴爾韋德

$1,478,820 交易量

否

迪昂·貝爾喬

$154,558 交易量

否

恩德里克

$693,806 交易量

否

Folarin Balogun

$817,698 交易量

否

弗洛里安·維爾茨

$484,391 交易量

否

孟菲斯·德佩

$343,899 交易量

否

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$76,664,218
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$76,664,218
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界杯：金靴獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "基利安·姆巴佩" at 100%, followed by "萊昂內爾·梅西" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界杯：金靴獎得主" has generated $76.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界杯：金靴獎得主," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" is "基利安·姆巴佩" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "萊昂內爾·梅西" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.