OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

25%

$38.3K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

45%

1

$642K 交易量

$22.3K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11%

$500M

$32.5K 交易量

$28.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

3%

$11.7K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs

66%

GamerLegion

$0 交易量

$880 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

69%

↑ 14,000

$15.8K 交易量

$11.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

51%

April 3

$8.0K 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Counter-Strike: 9INE vs INFINITE Talent (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group D

Counter-Strike: 9INE vs INFINITE Talent (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group D

100%

9INE

$11.9K 交易量

$0 Liq.

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 30

$21.6K 交易量

$839 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

36%

750B–1T

$10.7K 交易量

$24.1K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

3%

$139K 交易量

$27.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Counter-Strike: Players vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Players vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

70%

Players

$0 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Eternal Fire (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group C

Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Eternal Fire (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group C

100%

Eternal Fire

$15.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

93%

OpenAI

$915K 交易量

$172K Liq.

11

Ends in 6 days

Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs Team Aether (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs Team Aether (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs

57%

Team Aether

$83 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs

100%

Nemiga

$17.2K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TEAM ASCEND (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TEAM ASCEND (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B

79%

Heroic

$0 交易量

$273 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

How many Tornadoes in the US in April?

42%

<140

$0 交易量

$743 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

59%

≤2.4%

$12.2K 交易量

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

92%

OpenAI

$266K 交易量

$52.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 敏捷.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for 敏捷 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to OpenAI. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 敏捷 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.