Trader sentiment for crude oil (CL) reaching the target price during the week of March 16 hinges on persistent supply overhang, with WTI futures at $70.50/bbl amid record US production exceeding 13.5 million bpd and OPEC+ signaling gradual cut unwinds starting April. Bearish EIA inventories showing 4.2 million barrel builds last week underscore ample stocks, while China's sluggish demand growth caps upside. Key catalysts include the March 19 FOMC meeting—potentially signaling fewer rate cuts—and weekly EIA data releases; a hawkish dot plot could strengthen the USD and pressure prices lower. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East offer tail risks, but market-implied odds reflect trader capital favoring range-bound trading below recent highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$874,608 交易量
↑ $140
No
↑ $120
No
↑ $110
No
↑ $105
No
↑ $100
No
↓ $95
Yes
↓ $90
否
↓ $85
No
↓ $80
No
↓ $75
No
↓ $70
No
$874,608 交易量
↑ $140
No
↑ $120
No
↑ $110
No
↑ $105
No
↑ $100
No
↓ $95
Yes
↓ $90
否
↓ $85
No
↓ $80
No
↓ $75
No
↓ $70
No
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市場開放時間: Mar 16, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
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最終結果: No
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for crude oil (CL) reaching the target price during the week of March 16 hinges on persistent supply overhang, with WTI futures at $70.50/bbl amid record US production exceeding 13.5 million bpd and OPEC+ signaling gradual cut unwinds starting April. Bearish EIA inventories showing 4.2 million barrel builds last week underscore ample stocks, while China's sluggish demand growth caps upside. Key catalysts include the March 19 FOMC meeting—potentially signaling fewer rate cuts—and weekly EIA data releases; a hawkish dot plot could strengthen the USD and pressure prices lower. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East offer tail risks, but market-implied odds reflect trader capital favoring range-bound trading below recent highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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