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科技·IPO

SpaceX IPO收市市值（降低罷工）

Market icon
科技·IPO

SpaceX IPO收市市值（降低罷工）

2兆美元以上 45%

1.8兆–2.0兆 22%

1.6兆–1.8兆 14.2%

1.4 兆–1.6 兆 6.5%

Polymarket

$673,186 交易量

2兆美元以上 45%

1.8兆–2.0兆 22%

1.6兆–1.8兆 14.2%

1.4 兆–1.6 兆 6.5%

Polymarket

$673,186 交易量

2028年前不會上市

$142,031 交易量

3%

低於 1.0 兆

$42,623 交易量

2%

1.0 兆–1.2 兆

$29,012 交易量

3%

1.2兆–1.4兆

$49,294 交易量

3%

1.4 兆–1.6 兆

$97,732 交易量

7%

1.6兆–1.8兆

$93,979 交易量

14%

1.8兆–2.0兆

$72,203 交易量

22%

2兆美元以上

$146,311 交易量

45%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an IPO, reported just days ago, has propelled trader consensus toward a blockbuster public debut potentially by mid-2026, with market-implied odds favoring a closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 66.5% combined probability. This surge reflects the company's explosive growth from a $800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's commercial dominance—now comprising the vast majority of revenue—and Starship V3 development milestones, including upcoming test flights in 4-6 weeks. A recent merger with xAI enhances AI-driven space ambitions, justifying premium valuations amid reusable rocket leadership. Traders eye SEC review and roadshow as key catalysts, though final pricing remains fluid weeks before listing, with regulatory hurdles or market conditions posing downside risks to lower strikes.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$673,186
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an IPO, reported just days ago, has propelled trader consensus toward a blockbuster public debut potentially by mid-2026, with market-implied odds favoring a closing market cap exceeding $1.8 trillion at 66.5% combined probability. This surge reflects the company's explosive growth from a $800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025, fueled by Starlink's commercial dominance—now comprising the vast majority of revenue—and Starship V3 development milestones, including upcoming test flights in 4-6 weeks. A recent merger with xAI enhances AI-driven space ambitions, justifying premium valuations amid reusable rocket leadership. Traders eye SEC review and roadshow as key catalysts, though final pricing remains fluid weeks before listing, with regulatory hurdles or market conditions posing downside risks to lower strikes.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$673,186
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO收市市值（降低罷工）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2兆美元以上" at 45%, followed by "1.8兆–2.0兆" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO收市市值（降低罷工）" has generated $673.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO收市市值（降低罷工）," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO收市市值（降低罷工）" is "2兆美元以上" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1.8兆–2.0兆" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO收市市值（降低罷工）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.