Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) surpassing $30 by June 30, with yes shares trading at implied probabilities around 65%, driven by spot prices hovering near $29.80 amid robust industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, plus safe-haven flows offsetting a resilient U.S. dollar. Recent COMEX futures show a 5% monthly gain, fueled by China's import surge and ETF inflows topping 1,200 tonnes YTD. Key risks include hawkish Fed rhetoric post-June FOMC minutes on June 19 and PCE inflation data June 28, which could strengthen the dollar and cap gains. Historical June seasonality favors upside, but trader consensus prices in only modest volatility through month-end settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$3,502,969 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ 200美元
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ 130美元
12%
↑ $120
13%
↓ $70
100%
↓ $65
76%
↓ 60美元
46%
↓ $55
36%
↓ 45美元
17%
↓ $35
7%
$3,502,969 交易量
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ 200美元
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ 130美元
12%
↑ $120
13%
↓ $70
100%
↓ $65
76%
↓ 60美元
46%
↓ $55
36%
↓ 45美元
17%
↓ $35
7%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
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0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) surpassing $30 by June 30, with yes shares trading at implied probabilities around 65%, driven by spot prices hovering near $29.80 amid robust industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, plus safe-haven flows offsetting a resilient U.S. dollar. Recent COMEX futures show a 5% monthly gain, fueled by China's import surge and ETF inflows topping 1,200 tonnes YTD. Key risks include hawkish Fed rhetoric post-June FOMC minutes on June 19 and PCE inflation data June 28, which could strengthen the dollar and cap gains. Historical June seasonality favors upside, but trader consensus prices in only modest volatility through month-end settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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