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選舉·主要

SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者

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選舉·主要

SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者

馬克·史密斯 39%

Alex Pelbath 39%

薩姆·麥考恩 19%

傑克·埃利森 6%

Polymarket
NEW

馬克·史密斯 39%

Alex Pelbath 39%

薩姆·麥考恩 19%

傑克·埃利森 6%

Polymarket
NEW

馬克·史密斯

$0 交易量

39%

Alex Pelbath

$1,152 交易量

39%

薩姆·麥考恩

$0 交易量

20%

傑克·埃利森

$0 交易量

6%

羅根·坎寧安

$0 交易量

2%

珍妮·科斯塔·哈尼卡特

$0 交易量

2%

傑伊·拜亞斯

$0 交易量

1%

賈斯汀·邁爾斯

$0 交易量

<1%

丹·布朗

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the crowded Republican primary for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat—vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—trader consensus gives Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath a slim 43% edge over state Rep. Mark Smith at 39%, reflecting a fragmented field of over 10 candidates ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Pelbath's high-profile role as the last U.S. pilot out of Kabul bolsters his conservative credentials, while Smith's legislative experience and February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win sustain local momentum. Recent filings, including Pelbath's on March 18 and Sam McCown's last week, intensify competition with the March 30 deadline looming; endorsements from Trump allies or fundraising surges could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

In the crowded Republican primary for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat—vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—trader consensus gives Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath a slim 43% edge over state Rep. Mark Smith at 39%, reflecting a fragmented field of over 10 candidates ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Pelbath's high-profile role as the last U.S. pilot out of Kabul bolsters his conservative credentials, while Smith's legislative experience and February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win sustain local momentum. Recent filings, including Pelbath's on March 18 and Sam McCown's last week, intensify competition with the March 30 deadline looming; endorsements from Trump allies or fundraising surges could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the crowded Republican primary for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat—vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—trader consensus gives Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath a slim 43% edge over state Rep. Mark Smith at 39%, reflecting a fragmented field of over 10 candidates ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Pelbath's high-profile role as the last U.S. pilot out of Kabul bolsters his conservative credentials, while Smith's legislative experience and February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win sustain local momentum. Recent filings, including Pelbath's on March 18 and Sam McCown's last week, intensify competition with the March 30 deadline looming; endorsements from Trump allies or fundraising surges could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

In the crowded Republican primary for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat—vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—trader consensus gives Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath a slim 43% edge over state Rep. Mark Smith at 39%, reflecting a fragmented field of over 10 candidates ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Pelbath's high-profile role as the last U.S. pilot out of Kabul bolsters his conservative credentials, while Smith's legislative experience and February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win sustain local momentum. Recent filings, including Pelbath's on March 18 and Sam McCown's last week, intensify competition with the March 30 deadline looming; endorsements from Trump allies or fundraising surges could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬克·史密斯" at 39%, followed by "Alex Pelbath" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 18, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is "馬克·史密斯" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Pelbath" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SC-01共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.