Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 67.5% implied probability for no named storm forming before the Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) current assessment of no tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential across the basin. Recent NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks, paused until May 15 absent special needs, show zero formation chances in the next seven days amid unfavorable wind shear and disorganized weather patterns in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and tropical Atlantic. Despite pockets of above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the western Gulf, historical data indicates pre-season named storms are rare—the average first storm arrives around June 20—with Colorado State University's April 9 forecast predicting below-normal 2026 activity under weak La Niña conditions. Traders await May forecast updates for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在颶風季節之前命名風暴形式？
在颶風季節之前命名風暴形式？
是
$332,388 交易量
$332,388 交易量
2026-05-31
是
$332,388 交易量
$332,388 交易量
2026-05-31
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 67.5% implied probability for no named storm forming before the Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) current assessment of no tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential across the basin. Recent NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks, paused until May 15 absent special needs, show zero formation chances in the next seven days amid unfavorable wind shear and disorganized weather patterns in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and tropical Atlantic. Despite pockets of above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the western Gulf, historical data indicates pre-season named storms are rare—the average first storm arrives around June 20—with Colorado State University's April 9 forecast predicting below-normal 2026 activity under weak La Niña conditions. Traders await May forecast updates for any shifts.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
市場開放時間： Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
交易量
$332,388結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 67.5% implied probability for no named storm forming before the Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) current assessment of no tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential across the basin. Recent NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks, paused until May 15 absent special needs, show zero formation chances in the next seven days amid unfavorable wind shear and disorganized weather patterns in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and tropical Atlantic. Despite pockets of above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the western Gulf, historical data indicates pre-season named storms are rare—the average first storm arrives around June 20—with Colorado State University's April 9 forecast predicting below-normal 2026 activity under weak La Niña conditions. Traders await May forecast updates for any shifts.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
交易量
$332,388結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 67.5% implied probability for no named storm forming before the Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) current assessment of no tropical cyclones or disturbances with development potential across the basin. Recent NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks, paused until May 15 absent special needs, show zero formation chances in the next seven days amid unfavorable wind shear and disorganized weather patterns in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and tropical Atlantic. Despite pockets of above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the western Gulf, historical data indicates pre-season named storms are rare—the average first storm arrives around June 20—with Colorado State University's April 9 forecast predicting below-normal 2026 activity under weak La Niña conditions. Traders await May forecast updates for any shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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