Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for March monthly CPI inflation at ≥0.8%, reflecting hotter-than-expected leading indicators amid sticky price pressures. March producer price index rose 0.2% monthly—above forecasts—driven by services and goods costs, while ISM manufacturing and services PMIs showed elevated prices-paid indexes near multi-year highs. February's 0.4% MoM CPI print set a firm base, compounded by firm energy prices and resilient consumer spending data from retail sales. This positions lower outcomes like ≤0.3% (0.7%) as tail risks, with the official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10 as the key catalyst that could validate or unwind current positioning ahead of the Fed's policy outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於≥0.8% 84%
0.7% 12%
0.6% 1.9%
0.4% 1.4%
$493,231 交易量
$493,231 交易量
Apr 10, 2026
≤0.3%
1%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
1%
0.6%
2%
0.7%
12%
≥0.8%
84%
≥0.8% 84%
0.7% 12%
0.6% 1.9%
0.4% 1.4%
$493,231 交易量
$493,231 交易量
Apr 10, 2026
≤0.3%
$197,537 交易量
1%
0.4%
$84,112 交易量
1%
0.5%
$57,920 交易量
1%
0.6%
$41,877 交易量
2%
0.7%
$39,498 交易量
12%
≥0.8%
$72,287 交易量
84%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for March monthly CPI inflation at ≥0.8%, reflecting hotter-than-expected leading indicators amid sticky price pressures. March producer price index rose 0.2% monthly—above forecasts—driven by services and goods costs, while ISM manufacturing and services PMIs showed elevated prices-paid indexes near multi-year highs. February's 0.4% MoM CPI print set a firm base, compounded by firm energy prices and resilient consumer spending data from retail sales. This positions lower outcomes like ≤0.3% (0.7%) as tail risks, with the official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10 as the key catalyst that could validate or unwind current positioning ahead of the Fed's policy outlook.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
交易量
$493,231結束日期
Apr 10, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for March monthly CPI inflation at ≥0.8%, reflecting hotter-than-expected leading indicators amid sticky price pressures. March producer price index rose 0.2% monthly—above forecasts—driven by services and goods costs, while ISM manufacturing and services PMIs showed elevated prices-paid indexes near multi-year highs. February's 0.4% MoM CPI print set a firm base, compounded by firm energy prices and resilient consumer spending data from retail sales. This positions lower outcomes like ≤0.3% (0.7%) as tail risks, with the official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10 as the key catalyst that could validate or unwind current positioning ahead of the Fed's policy outlook.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$493,231結束日期
Apr 10, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for March monthly CPI inflation at ≥0.8%, reflecting hotter-than-expected leading indicators amid sticky price pressures. March producer price index rose 0.2% monthly—above forecasts—driven by services and goods costs, while ISM manufacturing and services PMIs showed elevated prices-paid indexes near multi-year highs. February's 0.4% MoM CPI print set a firm base, compounded by firm energy prices and resilient consumer spending data from retail sales. This positions lower outcomes like ≤0.3% (0.7%) as tail risks, with the official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on April 10 as the key catalyst that could validate or unwind current positioning ahead of the Fed's policy outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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