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政治·主要

緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Nirav Shah 34%

漢娜·平格里 25%

特洛伊·傑克森 16%

雪娜·貝洛斯 13.9%

Polymarket

$17,464 交易量

Nirav Shah 34%

漢娜·平格里 25%

特洛伊·傑克森 16%

雪娜·貝洛斯 13.9%

Polymarket

$17,464 交易量

Nirav Shah

$5,163 交易量

34%

漢娜·平格里

$4,163 交易量

25%

特洛伊·傑克森

$5,518 交易量

16%

雪娜·貝洛斯

$0 交易量

10%

安格斯·金三世

$0 交易量

7%

傑森·切里

$0 交易量

1%

肯尼斯·皮內特

$2,620 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nirav Shah's narrow lead in recent polls drives his 33.5% trader consensus in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest, with Hannah Pingree close at 24%, Troy Jackson at 16%, and Shenna Bellows at 10.2%. A March 19-23 Impact Research survey for Jackson's campaign showed Shah at 31% first-choice support among likely voters—up from February's UNH poll—but tightening to a 26-26 tie with Jackson on an informed ballot amid a crowded field of qualified candidates including Angus King III. The race stays competitive due to divided populist and establishment lanes, modest fundraising edges for Pingree, and Maine's open primary drawing independents; separation may hinge on upcoming forums, labor endorsements, or attack ads in the final stretch.

Nirav Shah's narrow lead in recent polls drives his 33.5% trader consensus in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest, with Hannah Pingree close at 24%, Troy Jackson at 16%, and Shenna Bellows at 10.2%. A March 19-23 Impact Research survey for Jackson's campaign showed Shah at 31% first-choice support among likely voters—up from February's UNH poll—but tightening to a 26-26 tie with Jackson on an informed ballot amid a crowded field of qualified candidates including Angus King III. The race stays competitive due to divided populist and establishment lanes, modest fundraising edges for Pingree, and Maine's open primary drawing independents; separation may hinge on upcoming forums, labor endorsements, or attack ads in the final stretch.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nirav Shah's narrow lead in recent polls drives his 33.5% trader consensus in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest, with Hannah Pingree close at 24%, Troy Jackson at 16%, and Shenna Bellows at 10.2%. A March 19-23 Impact Research survey for Jackson's campaign showed Shah at 31% first-choice support among likely voters—up from February's UNH poll—but tightening to a 26-26 tie with Jackson on an informed ballot amid a crowded field of qualified candidates including Angus King III. The race stays competitive due to divided populist and establishment lanes, modest fundraising edges for Pingree, and Maine's open primary drawing independents; separation may hinge on upcoming forums, labor endorsements, or attack ads in the final stretch.

Nirav Shah's narrow lead in recent polls drives his 33.5% trader consensus in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary ahead of the June 9 ranked-choice contest, with Hannah Pingree close at 24%, Troy Jackson at 16%, and Shenna Bellows at 10.2%. A March 19-23 Impact Research survey for Jackson's campaign showed Shah at 31% first-choice support among likely voters—up from February's UNH poll—but tightening to a 26-26 tie with Jackson on an informed ballot amid a crowded field of qualified candidates including Angus King III. The race stays competitive due to divided populist and establishment lanes, modest fundraising edges for Pingree, and Maine's open primary drawing independents; separation may hinge on upcoming forums, labor endorsements, or attack ads in the final stretch.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 34%, followed by "漢娜·平格里" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $17.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Nirav Shah" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "漢娜·平格里" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "緬因州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.