Trader consensus strongly favors SpaceX (95% implied probability) and AI chipmaker Cerebras (90%) completing IPOs before year-end 2026, propelled by SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation amid Starship milestones and xAI integration, alongside Cerebras' March registration statement and Morgan Stanley-led roadshow for a potential Q2 debut. Discord lingers at 62% post-January confidential filing, buoyed by user growth in gaming and AI developer ecosystems, while Anthropic (44%) benefits from doubled paid users signaling enterprise AI adoption. Surging AI infrastructure demand and revived IPO windows contrast with delays for Databricks (31%) after February's $5 billion fundraise, with regulatory reviews and market volatility as key swing factors ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$5,302,154 交易量

SpaceX
95%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
61%

WHOOP
46%

Anthropic
44%

Ledger
40%

OpenAI
38%

Deel
37%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
30%

Canva
27%

Anysphere(Cursor)
24%

遠端
23%

Celonis
20%

Anduril Industries
22%

字節跳動
22%

Ripple Labs
20%

Glean
19%

Revolut
18%

Anduril
18%

Epic Games
18%

房利美
17%

Applied Intuition
16%

Stripe
16%

Mistral AI
16%

聯邦住房貸款抵押公司(Freddie Mac)
15%

Vanta
15%

Ramp
14%

Waymo
13%

Rippling
12%

Brex
7%
$5,302,154 交易量

SpaceX
95%

Cerebras
89%

Discord
61%

WHOOP
46%

Anthropic
44%

Ledger
40%

OpenAI
38%

Deel
37%

Databricks
31%

SHEIN
30%

Canva
27%

Anysphere(Cursor)
24%

遠端
23%

Celonis
20%

Anduril Industries
22%

字節跳動
22%

Ripple Labs
20%

Glean
19%

Revolut
18%

Anduril
18%

Epic Games
18%

房利美
17%

Applied Intuition
16%

Stripe
16%

Mistral AI
16%

聯邦住房貸款抵押公司(Freddie Mac)
15%

Vanta
15%

Ramp
14%

Waymo
13%

Rippling
12%

Brex
7%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus strongly favors SpaceX (95% implied probability) and AI chipmaker Cerebras (90%) completing IPOs before year-end 2026, propelled by SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation amid Starship milestones and xAI integration, alongside Cerebras' March registration statement and Morgan Stanley-led roadshow for a potential Q2 debut. Discord lingers at 62% post-January confidential filing, buoyed by user growth in gaming and AI developer ecosystems, while Anthropic (44%) benefits from doubled paid users signaling enterprise AI adoption. Surging AI infrastructure demand and revived IPO windows contrast with delays for Databricks (31%) after February's $5 billion fundraise, with regulatory reviews and market volatility as key swing factors ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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