Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological stations confirm the highest temperature on March 27 reached exactly 10°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects mild late-March conditions typical for Warsaw, where historical averages hover around 9–11°C amid neutral ENSO patterns and a stable high-pressure system dominating Central Europe over the past week. Pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models accurately predicted highs near 10°C, with minimal deviations due to light cloud cover and moderate southerly winds. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors or discrepancies in station readings, though final IMGW validation typically solidifies such records swiftly. Traders await formal resolution amid negligible uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$71,146 交易量
$71,146 交易量
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$71,146 交易量
$71,146 交易量
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological stations confirm the highest temperature on March 27 reached exactly 10°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects mild late-March conditions typical for Warsaw, where historical averages hover around 9–11°C amid neutral ENSO patterns and a stable high-pressure system dominating Central Europe over the past week. Pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models accurately predicted highs near 10°C, with minimal deviations due to light cloud cover and moderate southerly winds. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare post hoc data audits revealing sensor errors or discrepancies in station readings, though final IMGW validation typically solidifies such records swiftly. Traders await formal resolution amid negligible uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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