Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Seoul's highest temperature today, with 11–13°C outcomes nearly tied at around 30% implied probabilities each, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance projecting a daytime peak near 12°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow 1–2°C spread, stemming from variable morning cloud cover and fog—potentially delaying solar insolation and capping warming—amid cold air advection from a lingering Siberian high-pressure system. Historical late-March highs average 12–14°C, but today's synoptic setup favors subdued diurnal heating; monitor KMA hourly updates through afternoon for resolution-defining observations at official Seoul stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
11°C 71.8%
12°C 18%
13°C 9.1%
14°C 2.5%
$375,508 交易量
$375,508 交易量
10°C
<1%
11°C
72%
12°C
18%
13°C
9%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
11°C 71.8%
12°C 18%
13°C 9.1%
14°C 2.5%
$375,508 交易量
$375,508 交易量
10°C
<1%
11°C
72%
12°C
18%
13°C
9%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Seoul's highest temperature today, with 11–13°C outcomes nearly tied at around 30% implied probabilities each, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance projecting a daytime peak near 12°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a narrow 1–2°C spread, stemming from variable morning cloud cover and fog—potentially delaying solar insolation and capping warming—amid cold air advection from a lingering Siberian high-pressure system. Historical late-March highs average 12–14°C, but today's synoptic setup favors subdued diurnal heating; monitor KMA hourly updates through afternoon for resolution-defining observations at official Seoul stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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