Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on a high of 30°C (26.5% implied probability) for São Paulo on March 28, closely trailed by 29°C and 31°C at 18.5% each, reflecting tight forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicating maximums in the 29–31°C range amid a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent INMET updates highlight clear skies, light southerly winds under 10 km/h, and soil moisture recovery post-rain, all favoring daytime peaks around 2–4 p.m. local time at key stations like Congonhas Airport, though urban heat island effects and minor cloud variability create the spread. Late-March climatology averages 27–28°C highs, but elevated solar insolation pushes above-normal temps; afternoon INMET bulletins and 12z model runs tomorrow could sharpen resolution as the date nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
29°C 18%
32°C 14%
$11,733 交易量
$11,733 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 28%
31°C 22%
29°C 18%
32°C 14%
$11,733 交易量
$11,733 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on a high of 30°C (26.5% implied probability) for São Paulo on March 28, closely trailed by 29°C and 31°C at 18.5% each, reflecting tight forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicating maximums in the 29–31°C range amid a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent INMET updates highlight clear skies, light southerly winds under 10 km/h, and soil moisture recovery post-rain, all favoring daytime peaks around 2–4 p.m. local time at key stations like Congonhas Airport, though urban heat island effects and minor cloud variability create the spread. Late-March climatology averages 27–28°C highs, but elevated solar insolation pushes above-normal temps; afternoon INMET bulletins and 12z model runs tomorrow could sharpen resolution as the date nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions