Official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station, as archived by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 27°C, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with INMET reports of widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across the Southeast region, which suppressed solar heating and limited peak temperatures despite seasonal norms averaging 26°C in April. Forecast models from CPTEC and Climatempo had anticipated highs in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity and instability. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from instrument calibration issues or quality control anomalies—are highly improbable once historical records are published.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 1?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$118,050 交易量
$118,050 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$118,050 交易量
$118,050 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station, as archived by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached exactly 27°C, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with INMET reports of widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across the Southeast region, which suppressed solar heating and limited peak temperatures despite seasonal norms averaging 26°C in April. Forecast models from CPTEC and Climatempo had anticipated highs in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity and instability. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as a rare data revision from instrument calibration issues or quality control anomalies—are highly improbable once historical records are published.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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