Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 80-81°F (30.5%) and 82-83°F (30.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, driven by National Weather Service forecast models averaging 81-82°F under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and light winds. Recent GFS runs edge toward 82°F peaks in early afternoon due to moderating sea breezes and warm sea surface temperatures near 78°F, while the European model shows slightly cooler cloudier scenarios capping at 81°F; this divergence captures inherent forecast uncertainty amid neutral ENSO conditions. Historical late-March highs average 80°F, with daily NWS updates expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
$17,786 交易量
$17,786 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
$17,786 交易量
$17,786 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 80-81°F (30.5%) and 82-83°F (30.5%) for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, driven by National Weather Service forecast models averaging 81-82°F under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and light winds. Recent GFS runs edge toward 82°F peaks in early afternoon due to moderating sea breezes and warm sea surface temperatures near 78°F, while the European model shows slightly cooler cloudier scenarios capping at 81°F; this divergence captures inherent forecast uncertainty amid neutral ENSO conditions. Historical late-March highs average 80°F, with daily NWS updates expected to refine trader positioning before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions