Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 82-83°F (45.5%) in Miami on March 26, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models showing peak daytime highs in that range under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Recent 00Z runs of the GFS and European models converged on this outlook after earlier runs hinted at slightly cooler 80-81°F (now 28.5%), driven by persistent warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico and minimal cold air influence post-winter. Climatologically, late March averages 79°F, but neutral ENSO conditions and urban heat effects support the modest warmup. New observational data from Miami International Airport and hourly forecast updates expected by midday March 26 could refine these market-implied odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月26日邁阿密的最高溫度?
3月26日邁阿密的最高溫度?
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 4.0%
$39,668 交易量
$39,668 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
82-83°F 45%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 4.0%
$39,668 交易量
$39,668 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
45%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 82-83°F (45.5%) in Miami on March 26, reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models showing peak daytime highs in that range under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Recent 00Z runs of the GFS and European models converged on this outlook after earlier runs hinted at slightly cooler 80-81°F (now 28.5%), driven by persistent warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico and minimal cold air influence post-winter. Climatologically, late March averages 79°F, but neutral ENSO conditions and urban heat effects support the modest warmup. New observational data from Miami International Airport and hourly forecast updates expected by midday March 26 could refine these market-implied odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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