Official observations from the National Weather Service Miami office and Weather Underground data at Miami International Airport (KMIA)—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on April 2, 2026, reached 82-83°F around 2:33 PM EDT, aligning perfectly with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early April climatological normals near 82°F, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers, light rain, and thunderstorms producing 0.06 inches of precipitation, which limited solar heating and intensification potential. Ensemble model forecasts from NOAA had projected 78-82°F pre-event, but actual measurements solidified the positioning. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-verification, could involve rare data revisions from station metadata reviews or quality control audits by NWS.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on April 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 2?
82-83°F 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$190,085 交易量
$190,085 交易量
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$190,085 交易量
$190,085 交易量
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official observations from the National Weather Service Miami office and Weather Underground data at Miami International Airport (KMIA)—the market's resolution station—confirm the highest temperature on April 2, 2026, reached 82-83°F around 2:33 PM EDT, aligning perfectly with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early April climatological normals near 82°F, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers, light rain, and thunderstorms producing 0.06 inches of precipitation, which limited solar heating and intensification potential. Ensemble model forecasts from NOAA had projected 78-82°F pre-event, but actual measurements solidified the positioning. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-verification, could involve rare data revisions from station metadata reviews or quality control audits by NWS.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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