Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations recorded Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 at 32.6°C, measured at the Amausi observatory, cementing trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "33°C or below" as the market nears resolution. Persistent northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions limited solar heating and diurnal temperature rise, consistent with late-March climatology where averages typically range 30-34°C amid pre-monsoon transition. No heat dome or high-pressure anomalies were present, per IMD synoptic charts. While data is preliminary, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from automated weather stations exceeding 0.5°C—unlikely given historical measurement precision—but traders monitor for final certified reports expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月25日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
3月25日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C或以下 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$140,193 交易量
$140,193 交易量
33°C或以下
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或更高
<1%
33°C或以下 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$140,193 交易量
$140,193 交易量
33°C或以下
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations recorded Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 at 32.6°C, measured at the Amausi observatory, cementing trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "33°C or below" as the market nears resolution. Persistent northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions limited solar heating and diurnal temperature rise, consistent with late-March climatology where averages typically range 30-34°C amid pre-monsoon transition. No heat dome or high-pressure anomalies were present, per IMD synoptic charts. While data is preliminary, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from automated weather stations exceeding 0.5°C—unlikely given historical measurement precision—but traders monitor for final certified reports expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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