Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast guidance for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), where models like the GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 74-76°F on March 28 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light offshore flow. The slight edge for 76-77°F (28%) stems from the most recent 12z GFS run simulating enhanced boundary layer mixing for a midday peak near 77°F, while the 74-75°F (24%) and 72-73°F (21.5%) bins capture ensemble means and ECMWF's cooler bias from persistent morning marine stratus. Differentiating factors include timing of coastal cloud clearance and ridge amplitude variations, with inherent forecast uncertainty around 2-3°F. New 00z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine these market-implied odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 28?
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 20%
78-79°F 11%
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 20%
78-79°F 11%
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast guidance for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), where models like the GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 74-76°F on March 28 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and light offshore flow. The slight edge for 76-77°F (28%) stems from the most recent 12z GFS run simulating enhanced boundary layer mixing for a midday peak near 77°F, while the 74-75°F (24%) and 72-73°F (21.5%) bins capture ensemble means and ECMWF's cooler bias from persistent morning marine stratus. Differentiating factors include timing of coastal cloud clearance and ridge amplitude variations, with inherent forecast uncertainty around 2-3°F. New 00z model runs tonight and NWS updates tomorrow could refine these market-implied odds further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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