Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 11°C in Ankara on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on daytime peaks around 11-12°C amid lingering cool northerly flows. Recent Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and airport observations show current temperatures tracking 2-3°C below seasonal norms, with clear skies expected but limited solar warming due to post-frontal stability. Historical March data for Ankara indicates average highs near 12°C, but this week's mild cold air mass—evident in yesterday's 9°C maximum—positions 11°C as the modal outcome, while 12°C reflects slight upside from potential diurnal heating; lower probabilities for extremes align with low volatility in spring synoptics. Monitor afternoon soundings for final convective tweaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on March 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 22?
11°C 69%
12°C 20%
13°C 6.0%
10°C 2.7%
$219,193 交易量
$219,193 交易量
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
69%
12°C
20%
13°C
6%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 69%
12°C 20%
13°C 6.0%
10°C 2.7%
$219,193 交易量
$219,193 交易量
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
69%
12°C
20%
13°C
6%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 11°C in Ankara on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on daytime peaks around 11-12°C amid lingering cool northerly flows. Recent Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and airport observations show current temperatures tracking 2-3°C below seasonal norms, with clear skies expected but limited solar warming due to post-frontal stability. Historical March data for Ankara indicates average highs near 12°C, but this week's mild cold air mass—evident in yesterday's 9°C maximum—positions 11°C as the modal outcome, while 12°C reflects slight upside from potential diurnal heating; lower probabilities for extremes align with low volatility in spring synoptics. Monitor afternoon soundings for final convective tweaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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