Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for Comex gold futures (GC) closing above $2,350 on June 28, driven primarily by persistent Fed rate cut expectations amid cooling inflation signals, which weaken the USD and boost non-yielding gold's appeal. Spot gold trades near $2,330/oz after pulling back from May's record highs above $2,450, supported by central bank buying—China added 4 tonnes in April per WGC data—and Middle East tensions. Key risks include a hawkish FOMC on June 12 or hot June CPI/NFP prints, potentially capping upside; watch $2,400 resistance for breakout cues as $60B in ETF inflows reflect bullish conviction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$45,050 交易量
8,000美元
13%
7,000美元
15%
$6,500
16%
$6,200
23%
6,000美元
19%
5,800美元
20%
5,600美元
39%
5,400美元
39%
5,200美元
48%
5,000美元
59%
4,800美元
65%
4,600美元
74%
$45,050 交易量
8,000美元
13%
7,000美元
15%
$6,500
16%
$6,200
23%
6,000美元
19%
5,800美元
20%
5,600美元
39%
5,400美元
39%
5,200美元
48%
5,000美元
59%
4,800美元
65%
4,600美元
74%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市場開放時間: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 65% implied probability for Comex gold futures (GC) closing above $2,350 on June 28, driven primarily by persistent Fed rate cut expectations amid cooling inflation signals, which weaken the USD and boost non-yielding gold's appeal. Spot gold trades near $2,330/oz after pulling back from May's record highs above $2,450, supported by central bank buying—China added 4 tonnes in April per WGC data—and Middle East tensions. Key risks include a hawkish FOMC on June 12 or hot June CPI/NFP prints, potentially capping upside; watch $2,400 resistance for breakout cues as $60B in ETF inflows reflect bullish conviction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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