Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow announcements three months after the company's confidential SEC submission in January, signaling potential delays amid challenging market conditions. Secondary market valuations have contracted to approximately $8 billion—roughly half the 2021 $15 billion peak—with private shares trading near $44 as of late March, per recent disclosures, underscoring revenue pressures from Nitro subscription slowdowns tied to February user backlash over age assurance policies and operational outages. Conditional on listing, sub-$15 billion market caps dominate at 11.8%, aligning with discounted private pricing; key catalysts include any S-1 disclosure or Q2 pricing updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO） 83%
低於150億 12.0%
150–200億 2.1%
300 億美元以上 1.9%
$801,523 交易量
$801,523 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
低於150億
12%
150–200億
2%
200–250 億
1%
250–300 億
1%
300 億美元以上
2%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO）
83%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO） 83%
低於150億 12.0%
150–200億 2.1%
300 億美元以上 1.9%
$801,523 交易量
$801,523 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
低於150億
$289,594 交易量
12%
150–200億
$100,274 交易量
2%
200–250 億
$66,610 交易量
1%
250–300 億
$82,244 交易量
1%
300 億美元以上
$88,406 交易量
2%
到2026年6月30日不公開募股（IPO）
$174,394 交易量
83%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow announcements three months after the company's confidential SEC submission in January, signaling potential delays amid challenging market conditions. Secondary market valuations have contracted to approximately $8 billion—roughly half the 2021 $15 billion peak—with private shares trading near $44 as of late March, per recent disclosures, underscoring revenue pressures from Nitro subscription slowdowns tied to February user backlash over age assurance policies and operational outages. Conditional on listing, sub-$15 billion market caps dominate at 11.8%, aligning with discounted private pricing; key catalysts include any S-1 disclosure or Q2 pricing updates.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$801,523結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow announcements three months after the company's confidential SEC submission in January, signaling potential delays amid challenging market conditions. Secondary market valuations have contracted to approximately $8 billion—roughly half the 2021 $15 billion peak—with private shares trading near $44 as of late March, per recent disclosures, underscoring revenue pressures from Nitro subscription slowdowns tied to February user backlash over age assurance policies and operational outages. Conditional on listing, sub-$15 billion market caps dominate at 11.8%, aligning with discounted private pricing; key catalysts include any S-1 disclosure or Q2 pricing updates.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$801,523結束日期
Jun 30, 2026市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.5% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow announcements three months after the company's confidential SEC submission in January, signaling potential delays amid challenging market conditions. Secondary market valuations have contracted to approximately $8 billion—roughly half the 2021 $15 billion peak—with private shares trading near $44 as of late March, per recent disclosures, underscoring revenue pressures from Nitro subscription slowdowns tied to February user backlash over age assurance policies and operational outages. Conditional on listing, sub-$15 billion market caps dominate at 11.8%, aligning with discounted private pricing; key catalysts include any S-1 disclosure or Q2 pricing updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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