Market icon
世界·巴西

巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名

Market icon
世界·巴西

巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名

雷南·桑托斯 35%

Ronaldo Caiado 34%

羅梅烏·澤馬 11%

費爾南多·哈達德 5.3%

Polymarket

$167,170 交易量

雷南·桑托斯 35%

Ronaldo Caiado 34%

羅梅烏·澤馬 11%

費爾南多·哈達德 5.3%

Polymarket

$167,170 交易量

Market icon

雷南·桑托斯

$20,542 交易量

35%

Market icon

Ronaldo Caiado

$6,509 交易量

34%

Market icon

羅梅烏·澤馬

$2,855 交易量

11%

Market icon

費爾南多·哈達德

$11,586 交易量

5%

Market icon

弗拉维奥·博索納羅

$2,182 交易量

4%

Market icon

哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾

$89,775 交易量

3%

Market icon

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$2,099 交易量

3%

Market icon

米歇爾·波索納羅

$1,779 交易量

2%

Market icon

卡米洛·桑塔納

$1,635 交易量

2%

Market icon

Geraldo Alckmin

$1,958 交易量

2%

Market icon

塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯

$2,460 交易量

2%

Market icon

賈伊爾·博索納羅

$1,673 交易量

1%

Market icon

愛德華多·博索納羅

$22,118 交易量

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus prices Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado neck-and-neck for third place in Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting a fragmented right-wing field beyond frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, who dominate recent polls at 38-46% each. Caiado's momentum surged after PSD confirmed his candidacy on March 31, pledging amnesty for ex-President Jair Bolsonaro, while Mission Party leader Renan Santos holds steady as an anti-establishment outsider akin to regional poll showings of 3-4% for both amid Ratinho Júnior's withdrawal. Romeu Zema trails at 11% implied probability due to weaker national traction. Separation could arise from April resignation deadlines for governors, fresh national surveys, or endorsements consolidating anti-PT votes.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$167,170
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus prices Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado neck-and-neck for third place in Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting a fragmented right-wing field beyond frontrunners Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, who dominate recent polls at 38-46% each. Caiado's momentum surged after PSD confirmed his candidacy on March 31, pledging amnesty for ex-President Jair Bolsonaro, while Mission Party leader Renan Santos holds steady as an anti-establishment outsider akin to regional poll showings of 3-4% for both amid Ratinho Júnior's withdrawal. Romeu Zema trails at 11% implied probability due to weaker national traction. Separation could arise from April resignation deadlines for governors, fresh national surveys, or endorsements consolidating anti-PT votes.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$167,170
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "雷南·桑托斯" at 35%, followed by "Ronaldo Caiado" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名" has generated $167.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名" is "雷南·桑托斯" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronaldo Caiado" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴西總統選舉第一輪：第三名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.