Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Clayton Johnson as the clear frontrunner at 42% implied probability for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, propelled by his high-profile backstory as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé and Nashville singer-songwriter appeal, which fueled pre-filming buzz and perceptions of authentic chemistry with lead Taylor Frankie Paul. Shane Parton holds second at 18.4%, riding early hype as a charismatic Atlanta private wealth planner, though recent odds drops signal fading momentum. Despite Reality Steve's March 17 spoiler naming Doug Mason (now 8.3%) as final rose recipient, traders discount it amid historical predictor misses and unverified post-filming splits. ABC's March 19 cancellation—sparked by Paul's resurfaced 2023 domestic violence video—halted the March 22 premiere, shifting bets to confirmed filming outcomes amid high uncertainty in this unbroadcast season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於單身女郎第22賽季獲勝者
單身女郎第22賽季獲勝者
馬特·卡羅爾 8.4%
道格·梅森 5.8%
Casey Hux 1.0%
邁克爾·巴巴 1.0%
$140,401 交易量
$140,401 交易量
馬特·卡羅爾
8%
道格·梅森
6%
Casey Hux
1%
邁克爾·巴巴
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Shane Parton
18%
Rod Strozier
1%
理查德·范德沃特
1%
Josh Harward
1%
康拉德·烏克羅皮納
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
馬利克·埃文斯
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
布蘭登·珀斯
1%
凱文·蒙特羅
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Johnnie LaRossa
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson
42%
馬特·卡羅爾 8.4%
道格·梅森 5.8%
Casey Hux 1.0%
邁克爾·巴巴 1.0%
$140,401 交易量
$140,401 交易量
馬特·卡羅爾
8%
道格·梅森
6%
Casey Hux
1%
邁克爾·巴巴
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Shane Parton
18%
Rod Strozier
1%
理查德·范德沃特
1%
Josh Harward
1%
康拉德·烏克羅皮納
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
馬利克·埃文斯
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
布蘭登·珀斯
1%
凱文·蒙特羅
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Johnnie LaRossa
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson
42%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
市場開放時間: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Clayton Johnson as the clear frontrunner at 42% implied probability for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, propelled by his high-profile backstory as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé and Nashville singer-songwriter appeal, which fueled pre-filming buzz and perceptions of authentic chemistry with lead Taylor Frankie Paul. Shane Parton holds second at 18.4%, riding early hype as a charismatic Atlanta private wealth planner, though recent odds drops signal fading momentum. Despite Reality Steve's March 17 spoiler naming Doug Mason (now 8.3%) as final rose recipient, traders discount it amid historical predictor misses and unverified post-filming splits. ABC's March 19 cancellation—sparked by Paul's resurfaced 2023 domestic violence video—halted the March 22 premiere, shifting bets to confirmed filming outcomes amid high uncertainty in this unbroadcast season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions